Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Find the most appropriate ARMA(p,q) model to the monthly average wind speed data(from Jan 1984 to...

Find the most appropriate ARMA(p,q) model to the monthly average wind speed data(from Jan 1984 to Mar 2020) and predict the next nine numbers by using R. Your analysis should include stationarity checking, model identification, parameter estimation, model diagnostics, and forecasting procedures.

5.4
9.2
9.2
11.6
9.8
8.7
8.3
8.9
8.1
7.4
9.6
6.9
5.1
8.3
9.4
8.7
8.9
9.6
8.3
8.7
8.5
8.5
7.8
5.4
6.7
8.9
9.6
9.8
9.6
8.7
8.1
7.8
7.2
6.3
7.4
4.7
7.6
7.4
9.8
9.2
8.1
8.5
8.5
7.6
7.4
6.5
6.7
8.9
6.5
6.9
9.4
8.9
9.4
8.7
7.6
7.2
7.4
6.3
8.9
6.5
7.2
5.8
9.4
8.3
8.9
8.5
7.8
7.8
7.4
7.4
6
4.9
8.1
8.9
8.7
8.1
9.4
8.3
8.1
8.1
7.4
8.5
7.6
6.7
5.6
5.8
8.3
8.1
8.9
8.5
8.1
7.8
7.8
8.1
7.6
6.3
6.9
7.6
7.4
8.9
9.6
9.4
8.5
8.5
8.7
8.1
8.5
10.3
8.5
7.8
8.5
9.2
9.8
9.4
9.6
8.1
7.8
7.2
7.6
8.3
6.3
9.2
9.4
9.8
8.5
8.7
8.9
8.3
7.8
8.3
9.4
7.4
9.2
7.2
9.2
9.4
7.6
8.7
8.3
7.6
7.8
7.4
6
6.7
7.2
8.5
8.9
8.7
8.1
7.8
7.2
7.8
7.2
6.9
6.5
10.1
6.3
6.9
9.8
9.4
7.6
8.1
7.2
7.4
7.2
8.3
6.9
6.5
8.5
10.3
8.1
7.6
7.4
8.1
7.4
6.7
6.5
7.4
8.1
6.9
7.2
10.5
8.9
9.2
8.7
8.3
7.4
7.4
7.6
7.4
7.2
5.8
6.9
8.3
8.7
8.3
8.1
8.3
7.2
7.4
7.2
6.9
5.6
6.3
4.3
6
8.7
7.4
8.7
8.3
6.9
6.7
7.2
7.4
7.8
8.3
7.2
8.1
8.3
8.7
8.5
8.1
7.4
7.6
6.7
6.5
6
8.5
6
7.2
8.7
8.5
7.2
8.1
6.5
6.9
7.6
6.7
6.7
8.7
5.8
8.9
8.1
8.5
6.9
8.1
7.2
6.9
7.4
6.9
5.6
6.5
6
5.6
8.5
9.2
8.1
8.3
8.3
7.4
6.5
6.7
6.7
6.5
8.7
7.8
10.1
9.2
7.8
7.6
7.4
7.2
7.2
6.7
9.2
7.2
6
6.5
7.6
8.1
8.3
7.8
6.5
6.3
7.4
7.6
5.8
7.8
8.1
7.8
8.1
8.9
8.5
7.6
6.9
7.2
5.8
6
4.9
6.9
5.4
7.2
8.1
8.7
7.2
6.5
6.7
6.3
7.2
6.7
7.2
5.6
6.9
5.8
8.9
8.7
8.5
7.8
6.9
7.2
6.3
6.3
7.2
6.7
5.1
7.2
8.9
8.5
9.6
7.6
7.2
6.5
6
5.6
7.6
4.9
6.7
7.4
10.1
7.8
7.4
7.8
6.9
5.8
5.6
6
6.7
8.3
4
7.2
7.2
9.4
8.5
7.4
6.5
6
7.8
6
4.5
4
4.3
6.9
8.3
7.8
8.1
7.8
6.7
6.7
6.5
6.5
5.6
6.9
3.6
6.5
6.9
8.5
7.4
6.9
6.7
7.2
5.4
5.8
7.4
8.9
6.3
6.5
8.9
8.7
7.8
7.8
6.9
6.9
7.2
7.8
7.8
6
5.8
9.4
9.6
9.6
8.7
7.8
6.5
6.7
6.5
6.7
8.3
5.4
6.7
7.8
8.7
9.2
7.2
8.3
7.2
6.9
6.3
6.3
5.8
7.6
6.7
9.2
7.4
9.2
7.6
7.6
6.9
6.7
6.7
7.2
5.1
6.5
7.6
7.8
7.4

Solutions

Expert Solution

Using R Programming Time Series Analysis:


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