In: Finance
Cooperton Mining just announced it will cut its dividend from $4.13 to $2.48 per share and use the extra funds to expand. Prior to the announcement, Cooperton's dividends were expected to grow at a 3.3% rate, and its share price was $50.09. With the planned expansion, Cooperton's dividends are expected to grow at a 4.5% rate. What share price would you expect after the announcement? (Assume that the new expansion does not change Cooperton's risk.) Is the expansion a good investment?
Step-1, Calculation of the Required Rate of Return (KE) using the Dividend Growth Model
Dividend per share (D1) = $4.13 per share
Current Dividend Growth Rate (g) = 3.30% per year
Current Share Price (P0) = $50.09 per share
Required Rate of Return (KE) using the Dividend Growth Model = [D1 / P0] + g
= [$4.13 / $50.09] + 0.0330
= 0.0825 + 0.0330
= 0.1155 or
= 11.55%
Step-2, Calculation of the share price after the announcement
Revised Dividend per share (D1) = $2.48 per share
Revised Dividend Growth Rate (g) = 4.50% per year
Required Rate of Return (KE) = 11.55%
As per the Dividend Discount Model, Share Price = D1 / (Ke – g)
= $2.48 / (0.1155 - 0.0450)
= $2.48 / 0.0705
= $35.18 per share
“Therefore, the share price after the announcement would be $35.18 per share”
DECISION
“NO”. This expansion not a good investment for the Cooperton Mining, since after the announcement, the share price is dropped from $50.09 per share to $35.18 per share.