In: Statistics and Probability
The mathematics department is considering revising how statistics is taught. In order to see if their changes will be effective in increasing student performance, they decided to run a Simulated Experiment. Previous semesters have that 10% of students receive an A in the class, 40% receive a B, and 20% receive a C. How would you assign values so you can use a Random Digit Table to run this experiment?
a) Assign 1 digit numbers as follows: 0 is A; 1, 2, 3, 4 are B; 5, 6 are C; 7, 8, 9 are D.
b) Assign 1 digit numbers as follows: 0 is A; 1, 2, 3, 4 are B; 5, 6 are C; 7, 8, 9 are other grades.
c) Assign 2 digit numbers as follows: 00-10 are A; 00-40 are B; 0-20 are C.
d) Assign 2-digit numbers as follows: 90-99 are A; 80-89 are B; 70-79 are C; 60-69 are D; and 00-59 are F.
e) This experiment cannot be simulated using a random digit table.
Previous semesters have that 10% of students receive an A in the class, This is same as the probability that any given student receives an A is 0.10
P(A)=0.1
40% receive a B, This is same as the probability that any given student receives a B is 0.40
P(B)=0.40
and 20% receive a C. This is same as the probability that any given student receives a C is 0.20
P(C)=0.20
The rest would receive other grades (we are not clear what other grades are).
P(Other)=1-(P(A)+P(B)+P(C))=1-(0.1+0.4+0.2)=0.3
We can for the following probability distribution for grades
Grades | Probability |
A | 0.1 |
B | 0.4 |
C | 0.2 |
Others | 0.3 |
Next we get the cumulative probability and the random number interval
Random number interval | ||||
Grades | Probability | cumulative probability | From | Less than |
A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 |
B | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
C | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Others | 0.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 |
We will multiply by 10 and make the random numbers as integers
Random number interval | Random number interval (integer values) | |||||
Grades | Probability | cumulative probability | From | Less than | From | Less than |
A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 |
B | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | 5 |
C | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7 |
Others | 0.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
We can see that the integer values of the ranom number intervals as between 0 to less than 10. Hence we just need 1 digit from the random digit table to simulate 1 trial
Following are the steps to simulate
ans: b) Assign 1 digit numbers as follows: 0 is A; 1, 2, 3, 4 are B; 5, 6 are C; 7, 8, 9 are other grades.