In: Statistics and Probability
Incubator A has a 70% success ratio getting companies to survive at least 4 years from inception. The average venture funding of the 28 companies reaching that 4 year mark, is 1.3 million dollars with a standard deviation of 0.6 million
Incubator B has a 40% success ratio getting companies to survive at least 4 years from inception. The average venture funding of the 20 companies reaching that 4 year mark, is 1.9 million dollars with a standard deviation of 0.55 million
Please note that alpha for part has been taken =0.01
A)
Ho: p1 - p2 = 0
Ha: p1 - p2 ╪ 0
sample #1 -----> A
first sample size, n1=
28
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂1=
x1/n1= 0.7000
sample #2 -----> B
second sample size, n2 =
20
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂ 2= x2/n2 =
0.400
difference in sample proportions, p̂1 - p̂2 =
0.7000 - 0.4000 =
0.3000
pooled proportion , p = (x1+x2)/(n1+n2)=
0.5750
std error ,SE = =SQRT(p*(1-p)*(1/n1+
1/n2)= 0.1447
Z-statistic = (p̂1 - p̂2)/SE = ( 0.300
/ 0.1447 ) = 2.0728
p-value =
0.0382 [excel formula
=2*NORMSDIST(z)]
p-value>α,Don't reject null hypothesis
Conclusion: There is enough evidence to support
that the success ratios significantly do not different
b)
Ho : µ1 - µ2 = 0
Ha : µ1-µ2 ╪ 0
Level of Significance , α =
0.01
Sample #1 ----> A
mean of sample 1, x̅1= 1.30
standard deviation of sample 1, s1 =
0.60
size of sample 1, n1= 28
Sample #2 ----> B
mean of sample 2, x̅2= 1.90
standard deviation of sample 2, s2 =
0.55
size of sample 2, n2= 20
difference in sample means = x̅1-x̅2 =
1.3000 - 1.9 =
-0.60
pooled std dev , Sp= √([(n1 - 1)s1² + (n2 -
1)s2²]/(n1+n2-2)) = 0.5799
std error , SE = Sp*√(1/n1+1/n2) =
0.1698
t-statistic = ((x̅1-x̅2)-µd)/SE = ( -0.6000
- 0 ) / 0.17
= -3.534
Degree of freedom, DF= n1+n2-2 =
46
t-critical value , t* =
2.6870 (excel formula =t.inv(α/2,df)
Decision: | t-stat | > | critical value |, so,
Reject Ho
p-value = 0.000944
(excel function: =T.DIST.2T(t stat,df) )
Conclusion: p-value <α , Reject null
hypothesis
Conclusion: There is enough evidence to support that the average funding in incubator B significantly different from the average funding in A
Please revert back in case of any doubt.
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