In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose a carnival director in a certain city imposes a height limit on an amusement park ride called Terror Mountain, due to safety concerns. Patrons must be at least 4 feet tall to ride Terror Mountain. Suppose patrons’ heights in this city follow a Normal distribution with a mean of 4.5 feet and a standard deviation of 0.8 feet (patrons are mostly children). Make sure to show all of your work in this question. Show the distribution that your random variable follows; state the probability you are asked to calculate; show any tricks you use; show how you standardize, and state your found value from Table A4.
a) [5 marks] What is the probability that a randomly selected patron would be tall enough to ride Terror Mountain?
b) [5 marks] A group of 3 friends want to ride Terror Mountain. What is the probability that their mean height is greater than 4.5 feet?
c) [7 marks] Another group of 5 friends wants to ride Terror Mountain. What is the probability that their mean height is between 4 and 4.25 feet, inclusive?
Solution:
Given: Patrons’ heights in this city follow a Normal distribution with a mean of 4.5 feet and a standard deviation of 0.8 feet.
Patrons must be at least 4 feet tall to ride Terror Mountain.
Part a) What is the probability that a randomly selected patron would be tall enough to ride Terror Mountain?
that is find:
Find z score for x = 4
Thus get:
Look in z table for z = -0.6 and 0.03 and find corresponding area.
P( Z < -0.63 ) = 0.2643
thus
Part b) A group of 3 friends want to ride Terror Mountain. What is the probability that their mean height is greater than 4.5 feet?
n = 3
find:
thus
Look in z table for z = 0.0 and 0.00 and find corresponding area.
P( Z < 0.00) = 0.5000
thus
Part c) Another group of 5 friends wants to ride Terror Mountain. What is the probability that their mean height is between 4 and 4.25 feet, inclusive?
n = 5
Find:
Find z scores:
thus
Look in z table for z = -1.4 and 0.00 as well as for z = -0.7 and 0.00 and find corresponding area.
P( Z< -1.40) = 0.0808
and
P( Z < -0.70) = 0.2420
thus