In: Statistics and Probability
Constructing and Interpreting Confidence Intervals. In Exercises 13–16, use the given sample data and confidence level. In each case, (a) find the best point estimate of the population proportion p; (b) identify the value of the margin of error E; (c) construct the confidence interval; (d) write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval.
Medical Malpractice In a study of 1228 randomly selected
medical malpractice lawsuits, it was found that 856 of them were
dropped or dismissed (based on data from the Physicians Insurers
Association of America). Construct a 95% confidence interval for
the proportion of medical malpractice lawsuits that are dropped or
dismissed.
Solution :
n = 1228
x = 856
a ) = x / n = 856 / 1228= 0.697
1 - = 1 - 0.697 = 0.303
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.960
b ) Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960 * (((0.697 * 0.303) / 1228)
= 0.026
c ) A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.697 - 0.026 < p < 0.697 + 0.026
0.671 < p < 0.723
d ) The proportion of medical malpractice lawsuits that are 0.671 < p < 0.723 .