In: Statistics and Probability
A poll asked for people's opinion on whether closing local newspapers would hurt civic life;428 of 1002 respondents said it would hurt civic life a lot. Complete parts a through d below.
a. Find the proportion of the respondents who said that closing local papers would hurt civic life a lot. Answer ______ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
b. Find a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion who believed closing newspapers would hurt civic life a lot. Assume the poll used a simple random sample (SRS). (In fact, it used random sampling, but a more complex method than SRS.) Answer (______, and _____) (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
c. Find an 80% confidence interval for the population proportion who believed closing newspapers would hurt civic life a lot. Answer (______, and _____) (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d. Which interval is wider A,B,C or D?
A.The 95% interval is wider. To get a higher degree of certainty, the interval needs to be widened just on the right side.
B.The 95% interval is wider. To get a higher degree of certainty, the interval needs to be widened just on the left side.
C.The 80% interval is wider. To get a higher degree of certainty, the interval needs to be widened.
D. The 95% interval is wider. To get a higher degree of certainty, the interval needs to be widened.
a)
sample proportion, = 0.427
b)
sample size, n = 1002
Standard error, SE = sqrt(pcap * (1 - pcap)/n)
SE = sqrt(0.427 * (1 - 0.427)/1002) = 0.0156
Given CI level is 95%, hence α = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
α/2 = 0.05/2 = 0.025, Zc = Z(α/2) = 1.96
Margin of Error, ME = zc * SE
ME = 1.96 * 0.0156
ME = 0.0306
CI = (pcap - z*SE, pcap + z*SE)
CI = (0.427 - 1.96 * 0.0156 , 0.427 + 1.96 * 0.0156)
CI = (0.396 , 0.458)
c)
sample proportion, = 0.427
sample size, n = 1002
Standard error, SE = sqrt(pcap * (1 - pcap)/n)
SE = sqrt(0.427 * (1 - 0.427)/1002) = 0.0156
Given CI level is 80%, hence α = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2
α/2 = 0.2/2 = 0.1, Zc = Z(α/2) = 1.28
Margin of Error, ME = zc * SE
ME = 1.28 * 0.0156
ME = 0.02
CI = (pcap - z*SE, pcap + z*SE)
CI = (0.427 - 1.28 * 0.0156 , 0.427 + 1.28 * 0.0156)
CI = (0.407 , 0.447)
d)
sample proportion, = 0.427
sample size, n = 1002
Standard error, SE = sqrt(pcap * (1 - pcap)/n)
SE = sqrt(0.427 * (1 - 0.427)/1002) = 0.0156
Given CI level is 80%, hence α = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2
α/2 = 0.2/2 = 0.1, Zc = Z(α/2) = 1.28
Margin of Error, ME = zc * SE
ME = 1.28 * 0.0156
ME = 0.02
CI = (pcap - z*SE, pcap + z*SE)
CI = (0.427 - 1.28 * 0.0156 , 0.427 + 1.28 * 0.0156)
CI = (0.407 , 0.447)