In: Statistics and Probability
Below are revenue and profit (both in $ billions) for nine large entertainment companies. Revenue and Profit of Nine Entertainment Companies (See the attached Excel file for correct, readable format)
Company Revenue Profit
AMC Entertainment 1.792 -0.020
Clear Channel Communication 8.931 1.146
Liberty Media 2.446 -0.978 Metro-
Goldwyn-Mayer 1.883 -0.162
Regal Entertainment Group 2.490 0.185
Time Warner 43.877 2.639
Univision Communications 1.311 0.155
Viacom 26.585 1.417
Walt Disney 27.061 1.267
Correlation and Regression
Make a scatterplot of profit as a function of revenue. Use Excel to fit the Trendline to the above problem data. Display the Regression Equation and R2. Explain the meaning of the Regression Equation and the R2. How would this model be applied to financial analysis and forecasting?
let us consider x = revenue
y=profit
using excel>data>data analysis>regression
we have
Simple Linear Regression Analysis | |||||
Regression Statistics | |||||
Multiple R | 0.9059 | ||||
R Square | 0.8206 | ||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.7950 | ||||
Standard Error | 0.4904 | ||||
Observations | 9 | ||||
ANOVA | |||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | |
Regression | 1 | 7.7030 | 7.7030 | 32.0295 | 0.0008 |
Residual | 7 | 1.6835 | 0.2405 | ||
Total | 8 | 9.3865 | |||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | |
Intercept | -0.1830 | 0.2173 | -0.8419 | 0.4276 | -0.6969 |
revenue | 0.0627 | 0.0111 | 5.6595 | 0.0008 | 0.0365 |
the Regression Equation is y = 0.063x -0.183
the value R2 = 0.8206 , about 82.06% variation in profit can be explained by the revenue .
interpretation of slope : for every 1 $ increase in revenue there is 0.06$ doller increase in the profit
interpretation of intercept: if there is no increase in the revenue there is 0.183 $ decrease in the profit .