In: Finance
We are given an initial investment outlay of $1,000,000,000 (1 billion) + 1,000,000 in working capital. The amount spent on exploring the site is the sunk cost and will not be considered for calculating the NPV of the project.
Total life is 25 years and depreciation is charged on a straight-line basis so annual depreciation equals 1,000,000,000/25 = 40,000,000.
Annual revenue = $60,000,000
Annual expenses = $15,000,000
NPV = -Initial cash outflow + present value of cash flow from year1 + present value of cash flow from year2......... present value of cash flow from year25
We can calculate the cash flows by a formula
Cash flow = (Sales - operating cost - annual depreciation)(1-Tax rate) + Annual Depreciation.
Depreciation is a non-cash operating expense and it reduces the amount of tax paid by the firm, so we add it back to the net income.
Initial Cash outlflow | 1001000000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Life | 25 yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annual Depreciation | 40000000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | 60000000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax rate | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annual Expense | 15000000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Increase in Working capital | 500000 | 1000000 | 1500000 | 2000000 | 2500000 | 3000000 | 3500000 | 4000000 | 4500000 | 5000000 | 5500000 | 6000000 | 6500000 | 7000000 | 7500000 | 8000000 | 8500000 | 9000000 | 9500000 | 10000000 | 10500000 | 11000000 | 11500000 | 12000000 | 12500000 | |
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
Cash Flow | -1001000000 | 42700000 | 42400000 | 42100000 | 41800000 | 41500000 | 41200000 | 40900000 | 40600000 | 40300000 | 40000000 | 39700000 | 39400000 | 39100000 | 38800000 | 38500000 | 38200000 | 37900000 | 37600000 | 37300000 | 37000000 | 36700000 | 36400000 | 36100000 | 35800000 | 35500000 |
Present value of cash flows | 41057692.31 | 39201183 | 37426747 | 35730815 | 34109975 | 32560958 | 31080639 | 29666022 | 28314245 | 27022567 | 25788363 | 24609124 | 23482447 | 22406033 | 21377683 | 20395292 | 19456846 | 18560417 | 17704162 | 16886317 | 16105193 | 15359176 | 14646721 | 13966349 | 13316646 | |
42700000/(1.04)^1 | 42400000/(1.04)^2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sum of Cash flows | 620231614.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
NPV | -380768386 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
IRR | -0.19% |
We get a negative NPV and IRR less than the required rate of return(4%) so this investment is not suitable.