Question

In: Operations Management

A box contains 100 balls, of which 15% are green, 40% are red, and 45% are...

A box contains 100 balls, of which 15% are green, 40% are red, and 45% are spotted.

Use simulation to find the probability that if you randomly draw a ball you get a Red Ball.

Use the following 20 randomly generated numbers: 97, 52, 61,  87,  07,  48,  73, 49, 23,  75, 18,  15, 70, 34, 67, 40, 48, 98, 49, 70

Solutions

Expert Solution

Draw a cumulative probability distribution table

Ball color Probability Cumulative probability
Green 0.15 0.15
Red 0.40 0.55
Spotted 0.45 1.00

The random number range is cumulative probability multiplied by 100

If the given random number lies within the random number range as determined in cumulative probability table, then you get the ball of that color.

For example, number 97 is in the range of 55 onwards to 100, so you get a spotted ball.

For 52 you get a red ball, for 61 spotted, for 87 spotted, for 07 green and so on..

The simulation table is following

Random number ball
97 Spotted
52 Red
61 Spotted
87 Spotted
07 Green
48 Red
73 Spotted
49 Red
23 Red
75 Spotted
18 Red
15 Green
70 Spotted
34 Red
67 Spotted
40 Red
48 Red
98 Spotted
49 Red
70 Spotted

Probability of getting a red ball = count of red in the above table /20 = 9/20 = 45%


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