In: Statistics and Probability
1. Use the 68-95-99.7 Rule to approximate the probability rather than using technology to find the values more precisely. The daily closing price of a stock (in $) is well modeled by a Normal model with mean $158.14 and standard deviation $4.64. According to this model, what cutoff value(s) of price would separate the following percentage?
a) highest 0.15%
b) highest 50%
c) middle 95%
d) highest 2.5%
2. In the last quarter of 2007, a group of 64 mutual funds had a mean return of 4.6% with a standard deviation of 2.5%. Consider the Normal model N(0.046, 0.025) for the returns of these mutual funds.
a) What value represents the 40th percentile of these returns?
b) What value represents the 99th percentile?
c) What's the IQR, or interquartile range, of the quarterly returns for this group of funds?
a) highest 0.15% will fall at 3 standard deviaiton above mean: corresponding value =158.14+3*4.64 =172.06
b) highest 505 will be at mean, corresponding value =158.14
c) middle 95% are 2 standard deviation from mean : corresponding values =158.14 -/+ 2*4.64 =148.86 to 167.42
d) highest 2.5% will fall at 2 standard deviation above mean: corresponding value =158.14+2*4.64 =167.42
2)
for normal distribution z score =(X-μ)/σx | |
here mean= μ= | 0.046 |
std deviation =σ= | 0.025 |
a)
for 40th percentile critical value of z= | -0.25 | ||
therefore corresponding value=mean+z*std deviation= | 0.0398 or 3.98% |
b)
for 99th percentile critical value of z= | 2.33 | ||
therefore corresponding value=mean+z*std deviation= | 0.1043 or 10.43% |
c)
for 75th percentile critical value of z= | 0.67 | ||
therefore Q1 =mean+z*std deviation= | 0.0628 |
for 25th percentile critical value of z= | -0.67 | ||
therefore Q2=mean+z*std deviation= | 0.0293 |
IQR, or interquartile range =Q3-Q1 =0.0628-0.0293 =0.0335 or 3.35%