In: Statistics and Probability
1. Complaints about an Internet brokerage firm occur at a rate of 3 per day. The number of complaints appears to be Poisson distributed.
A. Find the probability that the firm receives 3 or more complaints in a 2-day period.
2. In the United States, voters who are neither Democrat nor Republican are called Independent. It is believed that 13% of voters are Independent. A survey asked 15 people to identify themselves as Democrat, Republican, or Independent.
A. What is the probability that more than 3 people are Independent?
1)
Since , the rate of complaints about an Internet brokerage firm occur at a 3 per day.
Let , X be the number of complaints.
Here , X has a Poisson distribution with parameter =3 per day
Therefore , the probability mass function of X is ,
; ,
= 0 ; otherwise
Now , we want to find the probability that the firm receives 3 or more complaints in a 2-day period.
Theerfore , =2*3=6 per 2 day period.
Now ,
; From Poisson distribution table
Therefore , the probability that the firm receives 3 or more complaints in a 2-day period is 0.9380.
2)
Let , X be the number of the independent people
Here , X has binomial distribution with parameter n=15 and p=0.13
Therefore , the probability mass function of X is ,
; x=0,1,2,.........,n and q=1-p
=0 ; otherwise
Now , we want to find the probability that more than 3 people are Independent.
Therefore , the probability that more than 3 people are Independent is 0.1204