In: Statistics and Probability
Two tests (A and B) for osteoporosis have the following characteristics:
If the nurse reversed the order of the testing (i.e. used Test B first and the administered Test A to those who were positive on Test B), what would happen to the net specificity?
a. decrease
b. stay the same
c. increase
d. not enough information to tell
For the purpose for contingency table assuming that 50% of patients have osteoporosis
Scenerio 1:
IF Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on Test positive cases of Test A
Test A | |||
No disease | Disease | ||
P(D)=0.5 | P(D)=0.5 | ||
0.5 | 0.5 | ||
Test positive | Test negative | Test positive | Test negative |
20.00% | 80.00% | 60.00% | 40.00% |
False Positive | True Negative | True positive | False negative |
0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
P(Test A positive) = 0.3
Sensitivity is 90% for Test B.
Hence P(testing positve in Test B) = 0.3 *0.9 = 0.270
Net sensitivity = 0.27 if Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on test positive cases.
Scenerio 2:
IF Test B is administered first and then Test A is administed on Test positive cases of Test B
Test B | |||
No disease | Tested positive | ||
P(D)=0.5 | P(D)=0.5 | ||
0.5 | 0.5 | ||
Test positive | Test negative | Test positive | Test negative |
10.00% | 90.00% | 90.00% | 10.00% |
False Positive | True Negative | True positive | False negative |
0.05 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.05 |
P(Test B positive) = 0.45
Sensitivity is 60% for Test A.
Hence P(testing positve in Test A) = 0.45 *0.6 = 0.270
Net sensitivity = 0.27 if Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on test positive cases.
ANS: Option B : Net specificity stays the same.