Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Two tests (A and B) for osteoporosis have the following characteristics: Test A has a sensitivity...

Two tests (A and B) for osteoporosis have the following characteristics:

  • Test A has a sensitivity of 60% and a specificity of 80%.
  • Test B has a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 90%.

If the nurse reversed the order of the testing (i.e. used Test B first and the administered Test A to those who were positive on Test B), what would happen to the net specificity?

a. decrease

b. stay the same

c. increase

d. not enough information to tell

Solutions

Expert Solution

For the purpose for contingency table assuming that 50% of patients have osteoporosis

Scenerio 1:

IF Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on Test positive cases of Test A

Test A
No disease Disease
P(D)=0.5 P(D)=0.5
0.5 0.5
Test positive Test negative Test positive Test negative
20.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00%
False Positive True Negative True positive False negative
0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2

P(Test A positive) = 0.3

Sensitivity is 90% for Test B.

Hence P(testing positve in Test B) = 0.3 *0.9 = 0.270

Net sensitivity = 0.27 if Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on test positive cases.

Scenerio 2:

IF Test B is administered first and then Test A is administed on Test positive cases of Test B

Test B
No disease Tested positive
P(D)=0.5 P(D)=0.5
0.5 0.5
Test positive Test negative Test positive Test negative
10.00% 90.00% 90.00% 10.00%
False Positive True Negative True positive False negative
0.05 0.45 0.45 0.05

P(Test B positive) = 0.45

Sensitivity is 60% for Test A.

Hence P(testing positve in Test A) = 0.45 *0.6 = 0.270

Net sensitivity = 0.27 if Test A is administered first and then Test B is administed on test positive cases.

ANS: Option B : Net specificity stays the same.


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