In: Economics
A company needs a modern material handling system for facilitating access to and from a busy warehouse. If the company’s management use a MARR in their economic decisions.
The company found two systems, the first system is a second-hand and the second system is a new system.
The economic consequences of both systems are given in the below table.
Answer the following questions:
MARR= 22.5% per year
For Second-Hand system:
Investment Cost= $146,600
Annual expenses=$17,300
Annual savings= $61,000
Useful Life = 7 years
Salvage Value = $43,000
For New system:
Investment cost =$199,500
Annual expenses=$34,200
First year savings=$98,400 decreasing by 4% each year thereafter
Useful life= 14 years
Salvage value=$51,000
PART 2: Considering the two mutually exclusive alternatives and assume permanent need for the system (repeatability assumption).
a) Using any equivalency analysis technique of your choice (PW or FW or AW), which alternative should the company pick? (explain why)
b) Apply incremental analysis (rate of return technique) to determine the preferred alternative.
c) Determine the unfavorable system’s investment cost at which the company would be indifferent between alternatives. (For example, if when you analyze the problem, you pick the new system, determine the investment cost of the second-hand system that makes it on same level of economic desirability).
The MARR is 22.5% per year.
I need a solution for A,B &C using excel functions with steps how to do them.
a> The second hand system has a life of 7 years while the new system has a life of 14 years. So we can use the Second Hand System twice to gain equivalence to the New System.
So for Second Hand System:
Initial Investment = -146000 at end of year 0 and at end of year 7
Annual Expense = -17300 every year from year 1 to year 14
Annual Savings = 61000 every year from year 1 to year 14
Salvage Value= 43000 at end of year 7 and end of year 14
For New System:
Initial Investment = -199500 at end of year 0
Annual Expense = -34200 every year from year 1 to year 14
Annual Savings = 98400 in 1st year and 4% reduction every year from year 2 to year 14.
So
Year 2: 0.96*98400; Year 3: 98400 * 0.96^2 and so on...
Salvage Value= 51000 at end of year 7 and end of year 14
The Below Tables are used for calculation from excel. We use the PW analysis
SECOND HAND SYSTEM | ||||||
End of Year | Initial Investment | Annual Expense | Annual Savings | Salvage Value | Cashflow | NPV of Cashflow |
A | B | C | D | E | F=B+C+D+E | G=F/(1+MARR)^A |
0 | -146000 | -146000 | -146000.00 | |||
1 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 35673.47 | ||
2 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 29121.20 | ||
3 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 23772.41 | ||
4 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 19406.05 | ||
5 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 15841.67 | ||
6 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 12931.98 | ||
7 | -146000 | -17300 | 61000 | 43000 | -59300 | -14325.25 |
8 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 8617.73 | ||
9 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 7034.88 | ||
10 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 5742.76 | ||
11 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 4687.97 | ||
12 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 3826.91 | ||
13 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 3124.01 | ||
14 | -17300 | 61000 | 43000 | 86700 | 5059.57 | |
Total | 14515.35 |
New System | ||||||
End of Year | Initial Investment | Annual Expense | Annual Savings | Salvage Value | Cashflow | NPV of Cashflow |
A | B | C | D | E | F=B+C+D+E | G=F/(1+MARR)^A |
0 | -199500 | -199500 | -199500.00 | |||
1 | -34200 | 98400 | 64200 | 52408.16 | ||
2 | -34200 | 94464.00 | 60264 | 40159.27 | ||
3 | -34200 | 90685.44 | 56485.44 | 30727.57 | ||
4 | -34200 | 87058.02 | 52858.02 | 23472.89 | ||
5 | -34200 | 83575.70 | 49375.7 | 17899.17 | ||
6 | -34200 | 80232.67 | 46032.67 | 13622.28 | ||
7 | -34200 | 77023.37 | 42823.37 | 10344.94 | ||
8 | -34200 | 73942.43 | 39742.43 | 7837.29 | ||
9 | -34200 | 70984.73 | 36784.73 | 5921.65 | ||
10 | -34200 | 68145.35 | 33945.35 | 4460.87 | ||
11 | -34200 | 65419.53 | 31219.53 | 3349.11 | ||
12 | -34200 | 62802.75 | 28602.75 | 2504.81 | ||
13 | -34200 | 60290.64 | 26090.64 | 1865.16 | ||
14 | -34200 | 57879.01 | 51000 | 74679.01 | 4358.06 | |
Total | 19431.22 |
So from PW analysis, We see that it is better to go with New System than Second Hand System
b>
Incremental Analysis Rate of Return is done by finding the IRRs or Internal Rate of Return of Second Hand System, New System and difference between the two. The Table is given below
End of Year | Cashflow 2nd Hand System | Cashflow New System | Incremental New Over Second hand |
A | B | C | D=C-B |
0 | -146000 | -199500.00 | -53500.00 |
1 | 43700 | 64200.00 | 20500.00 |
2 | 43700 | 60264.00 | 16564.00 |
3 | 43700 | 56485.44 | 12785.44 |
4 | 43700 | 52858.02 | 9158.02 |
5 | 43700 | 49375.70 | 5675.70 |
6 | 43700 | 46032.67 | 2332.67 |
7 | -59300 | 42823.37 | 102123.37 |
8 | 43700 | 39742.43 | -3957.57 |
9 | 43700 | 36784.73 | -6915.27 |
10 | 43700 | 33945.35 | -9754.65 |
11 | 43700 | 31219.53 | -12480.47 |
12 | 43700 | 28602.75 | -15097.25 |
13 | 43700 | 26090.64 | -17609.36 |
14 | 86700 | 74679.01 | -12020.99 |
IRR = IRR(All Cashflows) | 25.29% | 25.47% | 26.10% |
The Internal rate of return is calculated using the excel formula for IRR
IRR(B0:B14) where B0 is the first cashflow of -146000 and B14 is the last cashflow of 86700
The saame is done for C for New System and D for Difference.
So we see that the Internal Rate of Return for incremental analysis is 26.10% which is higher than the MARR.
So it is better to go for New System than Second Hand System.
c>
Since we have selected the New system as out Favourable system, so the Second Hand System is the unfavourable system.
Let the initial cost of the Second Hand System be x
So the new table can be given as
SECOND HAND SYSTEM | ||||||
End of Year | Initial Investment | Annual Expense | Annual Savings | Salvage Value | Cashflow | NPV of Cashflow |
A | B | C | D | E | F=B+C+D+E | G=F/(1+MARR)^A |
0 | -x | -x | -x | |||
1 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 35673.47 | ||
2 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 29121.20 | ||
3 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 23772.41 | ||
4 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 19406.05 | ||
5 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 15841.67 | ||
6 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 12931.98 | ||
7 | -x | -17300 | 61000 | 43000 | 86700 - x | (86700-x)/(1.225)^7 |
8 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 8617.73 | ||
9 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 7034.88 | ||
10 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 5742.76 | ||
11 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 4687.97 | ||
12 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 3826.91 | ||
13 | -17300 | 61000 | 43700 | 3124.01 | ||
14 | -17300 | 61000 | 43000 | 86700 | 5059.57 | |
Total | 174840.59 + (86700-x)/(1.225)^7 - x |
To be indifferent among projects, the NPV of the Second Hand System should be equak to the NPV of the New System.
So
174840.59 + (86700-x)/(1.225)^7 - x = 19431.22
or (86700 - x) / 4.14 - x = 19431.22 - 174840.59
or 20942.03 - x/4.14 - x = -155408.78
or 5.41x / 4.14 = 176350.81
or x = 142041.31.
So if the second hand ystem costs 142041.31, then we will be indifferent between selecting the Second Hand and the New System.
This can also be solved using solver. We set up the table as below
C66 and C73 has the value of negative of D62. So C66 = -D62 and C73 = -D72
The solver is made as follows
On Solving we get the initial investment as equal to 142040.76 which is almost equal to what we had found on solving it above.
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