Question

In: Statistics and Probability

1. As reported in Runners World magazine, the times of the finishers in the New York...

1. As reported in Runners World magazine, the times of the finishers in the New York City 10 km run follow the normal model with mean=61 minutes and standard deviation= 9 minutes.

a) Using the 68-95-99.7% rule, 68% of runners will finsh between which two times? (In minutes)

b) Using the 68-95-99.7% rule, 99.7% of runners will finish between which two times? (In minutes)

Use z-scores and your z-table for the following. Round z-scores to two decimal places but give the full decimal answer from the z-table.

c) What proportion of runners will finish in less than 49.75 minutes?

d) What proportion of runners will take more than 65 minutes to finish?

e) For a random runner of the 10 km run, what is the probability they will finish between 55 and 70 minutes?

f) What time in (in minutes) will 30% of all runners finish below?

g) What time (in minutes) will 10% of the runners finish above?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:
Given in the question
mean = 61 minutes
Standard deviation = 9 minutes
Solution(a)
From empirical rule 68% of runners will finish b/w +/- 1 from the mean
So Lower bound = - 1 = 61 - 9 = 52
Upper bound = + 1 = 61 + 9 = 70
So 68% of runners will finish between 52 minutes and 70 minutes.
Solution(b)
From empirical rule 99.7% of runners will finish b/w +/- 3 from the mean
So Lower bound = - 3* = 61 - 3*9 = 34
Upper bound = + 3* = 61 + 3*9 = 88
So 99.7% of runners will finish between 34 minutes and 88 minutes.
Solution(c)
We need to calcualte P(X<49.75)=?
Z-score = (X-)/ = (49.75-61)/9 = -1.25
From Z table we found p-value
P(X<49.75) = 0.1057
So there is 10.57% proportion of runners will finish in less than 49.75 minutes.
solution(d)
P(X>65) = 1-P(X<=65)
Z = (65-61)/9 = 0.44
From Z table we found p-value
P(X>65) = 1-P(X<=65) = 1 - 0.6716 = 0.3284
So there is 32.84 proportion of runners will take more than 65 minutes to finish
Solution(e)
P(55<X<70) = P(X<70) - P(X<55)
Z = (55-61)/9 = -6/9= -0.67
Z = (70-61)/9 = 1
From Z table, we found p-value
P(55<X<70) = P(X<70) - P(X<55) = 0.8413 - 0.2514 = 0.5899
So there is 58.99% that they will finish between 55 and 70 minutes.
Solution(f)
P-value = 0.3
So from Z table Z-score = -0.5244
Estimated time can be calculated as
Time = mean + Z-score*Standard deviation = 61 - 0.5244*9 = 61 - 4.72 = 56.28 minutes
So Time 56.28 minutes will 30% of all runners finish below.
Solution(g)
P-value = 0.9
Z-score from Z table is 1.28
Estimated time can be calculated as
Time = mean + Z-score*Standard deviation = 61 + 1.28*9 = 61 + 11.52 = 72.52 minutes
So time 72.52 minutes will 10% of the runners finish above.


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