In: Finance
Modify model for projection of free cash flows from the Home Net project along the following dimensions:
5-year MACRS:
Year 0: 20%
Year 1: 32.0%
Year 2: 19.2%
Year 3: 11.52%
Year 4: 11.52%
Year 5: 5.76%
Data for the question:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Price per unit | 260 | 260 | 260 | 260 | 260 | 260 | |
# of units | 0 | 100,000.00 | 100,000.00 | 100,000.00 | 100,000.00 | 0 | |
Expected loss in sales of routers (%%) | 0 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
Price per unit (router) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
Cost of Goods Sold Router/unit | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | |
Cost of Goods Sold/unit | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | |
Marketing Costs/year | 0 | 2,800,000.00 | 2,800,000.00 | 2,800,000.00 | 2,800,000.00 | 0 | |
Opportunity Cost (Lab) | 0 | 200,000.00 | 200,000.00 | 200,000.00 | 200,000.00 | 0 | |
New Equipment/year | 7,500,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Depreciation schedule | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
Software Development: | |||||||
Engineers | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Cost/engineer | 200,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Design and Engineering | 5,000,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Tax Rate | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
HomeNet's Net Working Capital Requirements | |||||||
Cash | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Inventory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Receivables (15% Sales) | 0 | 3,525,000.00 | 3,525,000.00 | 3,525,000.00 | 3,525,000.00 | 0 | |
Payables (15% COGS) | 0 | 1,425,000.00 | 1,425,000.00 | 1,425,000.00 | 1,425,000.00 | 0 | |
NWC | 0 | 2,100,000.00 | 2,100,000.00 | 2,100,000.00 | 2,100,000.00 | 0 | |
Change in NWC | 0 | 2,100,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2,100,000.00 | |
Sales | 0 | 23,500,000.00 | 23,500,000.00 | 23,500,000.00 | 23,500,000.00 | 0 | |
COGS | 0 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 0 | |
Gross Profit | 0 | 14,000,000.00 | 14,000,000.00 | 14,000,000.00 | 14,000,000.00 | 0 | |
Selling, General, Admin. Expnenses | 0 | 3,000,000.00 | 3,000,000.00 | 3,000,000.00 | 3,000,000.00 | 0 | |
Research and Development | 15,000,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Depreciation | 0 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | |
EBIT | -15,000,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | 9,500,000.00 | -1,500,000.00 | |
Income Tax | -6,000,000.00 | 3,800,000.00 | 3,800,000.00 | 3,800,000.00 | 3,800,000.00 | -600,000.00 | |
NI (Unlevered) | -9,000,000.00 | 5,700,000.00 | 5,700,000.00 | 5,700,000.00 | 5,700,000.00 | -900,000.00 | |
Plus: Depreciation | 0 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | 1,500,000.00 | |
Less:Capital Expenditures (Equipm.) | 7,500,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Less: change in NWC | 0 | 2,100,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2,100,000.00 | |
FCF | -16,500,000.00 | 5,100,000.00 | 7,200,000.00 | 7,200,000.00 | 7,200,000.00 | 2,700,000.00 | |
Cost of capital | 0.12 | ||||||
PV of CFS | -16,500,000.00 | 4,553,571.43 | 5,739,795.92 | 5,124,817.78 | 4,575,730.16 | 1,532,052.51 | |
NPV | 5,025,967.81 |
Following table gives the values mentioned in the question:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Price per unit | 250 | 260 | 260 | 230 | 0 | |
# of units | 0 | 1,00,000.00 | 1,00,000.00 | 1,00,000.00 | 1,00,000.00 | 0 |
Expected loss in sales of routers (%%) | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Price per unit (router) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
# of units (router) | 0 | 20000 | 20000 | 20000 | 20000 | 0 |
Cost of Goods Sold Router/unit | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
Cost of Goods Sold/unit | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 |
Marketing Costs/year | 0 | 28,00,000.00 | 28,00,000.00 | 28,00,000.00 | 28,00,000.00 | 0 |
Opportunity Cost (Lab) | 0 | 2,00,000.00 | 2,00,000.00 | 2,00,000.00 | 2,00,000.00 | 0 |
New Equipment/year | 75,00,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Depreciation schedule | 20% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 12% | 6% |
Software Development: | ||||||
Engineers | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cost/engineer | 2,00,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Design and Engineering | 50,00,000.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tax Rate | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
The following table give HomeNet's Net Working Capital Requirements:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Cash | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventory | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Receivables (15% Sales) | - | 37,50,000 | 39,00,000 | 39,00,000 | 34,50,000 | - |
Payables (15% COGS) | - | 14,25,000 | 14,25,000 | 14,25,000 | 14,25,000 | - |
NWC | - | 23,25,000 | 24,75,000 | 24,75,000 | 20,25,000 | - |
Change in NWC | - | 23,25,000 | 1,50,000 | - | -4,50,000 | -20,25,000 |
The following table give HomeNet's Profit & loss statement:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Sales | - | 2,70,00,000 | 2,80,00,000 | 2,80,00,000 | 2,50,00,000 | - |
COGS | - | 1,22,00,000 | 1,22,00,000 | 1,22,00,000 | 1,22,00,000 | - |
Gross Profit | - | 1,48,00,000 | 1,58,00,000 | 1,58,00,000 | 1,28,00,000 | - |
Selling, General, Admin. Expnenses | - | 30,00,000 | 30,00,000 | 30,00,000 | 30,00,000 | - |
Research and Development | 1,50,00,000 | - | - | - | - | - |
Depreciation | 15,00,000 | 24,00,000 | 14,40,000 | 8,64,000 | 8,64,000 | 4,32,000 |
EBIT | -1,65,00,000 | 94,00,000 | 1,13,60,000 | 1,19,36,000 | 89,36,000 | -4,32,000 |
Income Tax | - | 37,60,000 | 45,44,000 | 47,74,400 | 35,74,400 | - |
NI (Unlevered) | -1,65,00,000 | 56,40,000 | 68,16,000 | 71,61,600 | 53,61,600 | -4,32,000 |
The NPV calculation and its sensitivity are as follows:
Plus: Depreciation | 15,00,000 | 24,00,000 | 14,40,000 | 8,64,000 | 8,64,000 | 4,32,000 |
Less:Capital Expenditures (Equipm.) | 75,00,000 | - | - | - | - | - |
Less: change in NWC | - | 23,25,000 | 1,50,000 | - | -4,50,000 | -20,25,000 |
FCF | -2,25,00,000 | 57,15,000 | 81,06,000 | 80,25,600 | 66,75,600 | 20,25,000 |
Cost of capital | 12% | |||||
PV of CFS | -2,25,00,000 | 51,02,679 | 64,62,054 | 57,12,464 | 42,42,464 | 11,49,039 |
NPV | 1,68,700 |
The Sensitivity of NPV to the Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital | NPV |
12.00% | 1,68,700 |
10.00% | 12,41,270 |
10.25% | 11,02,809 |
10.50% | 9,65,633 |
10.75% | 8,29,726 |
11.00% | 6,95,073 |
11.25% | 5,61,659 |
11.50% | 4,29,468 |
11.75% | 2,98,487 |
12.00% | 1,68,700 |
12.25% | 40,093 |
12.50% | -87,349 |
12.75% | -2,13,637 |
13.00% | -3,38,788 |
13.25% | -4,62,814 |
13.50% | -5,85,728 |
13.75% | -7,07,544 |
14.00% | -8,28,274 |
The below graph is a graphical representation of the NPV sensitivity: