In: Statistics and Probability
A city is investigating the chances of getting public support
for a new bill. In a survey of 1250 families, 400 families were in
favor of the new bill.
a. What is the point estimate for the population proportion in
favor of the bill?
b. Write a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion.
(Use the t table to obtain the critical value and round to two
decimal places). ( , )
c. Write a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion.
(Use the t table to obtain the critical value and round to two
decimal places). ( , )
Solution :
n = 1250
x = 400
a ) = x / n = 400 / 1250 = 0.320
1 - = 1 - 0.320 = 0.680
b )At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.320 * 0.680) / 1250)
= 0.026
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.320 - 0.026 < p < 0.320 + 0.026
0.294 < p < 0.346
c ) At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.64
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.64 * (((0.320 * 0.680) / 1250)
= 0.022
A 90 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.320 - 0.022 < p < 0.320 + 0.022
0.298 < p <
0.342