In: Statistics and Probability
Data broken down by generation (Group 1: Millennials; Group 2: Not Millennials) are shown below based on their agree or disagreement of the statement below:
“You shouldn’t worry too much about other people.”
Find the 90% confidence interval for the true difference in the proportions agreeing with the statement.
Agree Disagree Total
Group 1 139 112 251
Group 2 278 484 417
Total: 417 596 668
A. 0.130 to 0.248
B. -40.9 to -37.1
C. 0.097 to 0.282
D. -0.245 to -0.144
E. -0.189 to 0.249
Solution:
Given:
Agree | Disagree | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Group 1 | 139 | 112 | 251 |
Group 2 | 278 | 484 | 762 |
Total | 417 | 596 | 1013 |
(Note that: total of group 2 is incorrect in given table, correct totals are in above table)
We have to find 90% confidence interval for the true difference in the proportions agreeing with the statement.
Formula:
where
and
Zc is z critical value for c = 90% confidence level.
Find Area = ( 1 + c ) / 2 = ( 1 + 0.90) / 2 = 1.90 / 2 = 0.9500
Look in z table for Area = 0.9500 or its closest area and find corresponding z value.
Area 0.9500 is in between 0.9495 and 0.9505 and both the area are at same distance from 0.9500
Thus we look for both area and find both z values
Thus Area 0.9495 corresponds to 1.64 and 0.9505 corresponds to 1.65
Thus average of both z values is : ( 1.64+1.65) / 2 = 1.645
Thus Zc = 1.645
Thus
Thus correct answer is: A. 0.130 to 0.248