In: Finance
Furthermore, the client has mentioned that they are reviewing two mutually exclusive projects, each costing $100 thousands. Your team has already analysed these projects and expected the following cash flows for each project:
Cash Flow |
Project Alpha |
Project Beta |
Year 0 |
-100,000 |
-100,000 |
Year 1 |
32,000 |
0 |
Year 2 |
32,000 |
0 |
Year 3 |
32,000 |
0 |
Year 4 |
32,000 |
0 |
Year 5 |
32,000 |
200,000 |
The client’s required rate of return was 11%. The client was using payback method to decide which project to choose. However, you have explained that NPV or IRR methods might suit the client better.
I NEED TYPED VERSION ,NOT EXEL.CAN YOU HELP PLEASE. IT SHOILD BE WITH FORMULAS AND EXPLANATIONS.THANK YOU IN ADVANCE
1] | CALCULATION OF NPV: | ||
Project Alpha NPV = -100000+32000*(1.11^5-1)/(0.11*1.11^5) = | $ 18,269 | ||
Project Beta NPV = -100000+200000/1.11^5 = | $ 18,690 | ||
2] | CALCULATION OF IRR: | ||
IRR is that discount rate for which NPV = 0. | |||
Project Alpha: | |||
The equation for IRR is: | |||
0 = -100000+32000*PVIFA(irr,5) | |||
PVIFA(irr,5) = 100000/32000 = 3.125 | |||
The PV of $1 for 18% and 19% for n = 5 are | 18% | 19% | |
IRR lies between 18% and 19% | 3.1272 | 3.0576 | |
By simple interpolation IRR = 18%+1%*(3.1272-3.125)/(3.1272-3.0576) = | 18.03% | ||
Project Beta: | |||
IRR = (200000/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.87% | ||
3] | Both the projects have positive NPVs and hence are acceptable | ||
under the NPV rule. | |||
Both have IRRs greater than requred rate of return and hence | |||
are acceptable under the IRR rule. | |||
But, as the projects are mutually exclusive, the project with the | |||
higher ranking shoule be selected. | |||
However, the two methods give different rankings to the two | |||
projects. | |||
While the NPV ranks Beta [with higher NPV] as 1, the IRR ranks Alpha [with higher IRR] as 1. | |||
Hence, there is conflict in ranking. | |||
4] | Change in required return does not affect IRR. Only NPVs are | ||
affected. | |||
5] | The reason for conflicting ranking between NPV and IRR methods | ||
is the assumption as to the rate at which the intermediary cash | |||
flows are reinvested. | |||
While the NPV assumes the same required rate of return [here | |||
11%] as the rate of reinvestment of intermediary cash flows for | |||
all the projects, the IRR assumes the IRR of each project as the | |||
rate of reinvestment for their intermediary cash flows. Such a | |||
difference magnifies the difference in PVs of the cash flows when | |||
the rate changes. | |||
6] | The better assumption is that of NPV, as the discount rate used by | ||
NPV is the cost of capital, which is what the firm can earn on its | |||
cash flows. In contrast the IRR uses as many rates as there are | |||
projects, which is not going to happen, especially where the IRR | |||
is much higher than the cost of capital. | |||
7] | If there is a conflict, the NPV verdict should be accepted. That is | ||
Project Beta should be accepted. This is because, the projects | |||
have equal lives. | |||
If the projects do not have equal lives, then the equivalent annual | |||
NPV should be calculated, and the one with the higher value | |||
should be accepted. | |||
8] | The MIRR can also be used to resolve the conflict. | ||
For MIRR it is assumed that the intermediary cash flows are | |||
reinvested at the cost of capital and then IRR is worked out. | |||
Project Alpha: | |||
FV of cash inflows = 32000*(1.11^5-1)/0.11 = | $ 1,99,290 | ||
MIRR = (199290/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.79% | ||
Project Beta: | |||
MIRR = (200000/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.87% | ||
As Beta has higher MIRR, it should be selected. |