In: Finance
Furthermore, the client has mentioned that they are reviewing two mutually exclusive projects, each costing $100 thousands. Your team has already analysed these projects and expected the following cash flows for each project:
| 
 Cash Flow  | 
 Project Alpha  | 
 Project Beta  | 
| 
 Year 0  | 
 -100,000  | 
 -100,000  | 
| 
 Year 1  | 
 32,000  | 
 0  | 
| 
 Year 2  | 
 32,000  | 
 0  | 
| 
 Year 3  | 
 32,000  | 
 0  | 
| 
 Year 4  | 
 32,000  | 
 0  | 
| 
 Year 5  | 
 32,000  | 
 200,000  | 
The client’s required rate of return was 11%. The client was using payback method to decide which project to choose. However, you have explained that NPV or IRR methods might suit the client better.
I NEED TYPED VERSION ,NOT EXEL.CAN YOU HELP PLEASE. IT SHOILD BE WITH FORMULAS AND EXPLANATIONS.THANK YOU IN ADVANCE
| 1] | CALCULATION OF NPV: | ||
| Project Alpha NPV = -100000+32000*(1.11^5-1)/(0.11*1.11^5) = | $ 18,269 | ||
| Project Beta NPV = -100000+200000/1.11^5 = | $ 18,690 | ||
| 2] | CALCULATION OF IRR: | ||
| IRR is that discount rate for which NPV = 0. | |||
| Project Alpha: | |||
| The equation for IRR is: | |||
| 0 = -100000+32000*PVIFA(irr,5) | |||
| PVIFA(irr,5) = 100000/32000 = 3.125 | |||
| The PV of $1 for 18% and 19% for n = 5 are | 18% | 19% | |
| IRR lies between 18% and 19% | 3.1272 | 3.0576 | |
| By simple interpolation IRR = 18%+1%*(3.1272-3.125)/(3.1272-3.0576) = | 18.03% | ||
| Project Beta: | |||
| IRR = (200000/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.87% | ||
| 3] | Both the projects have positive NPVs and hence are acceptable | ||
| under the NPV rule. | |||
| Both have IRRs greater than requred rate of return and hence | |||
| are acceptable under the IRR rule. | |||
| But, as the projects are mutually exclusive, the project with the | |||
| higher ranking shoule be selected. | |||
| However, the two methods give different rankings to the two | |||
| projects. | |||
| While the NPV ranks Beta [with higher NPV] as 1, the IRR ranks Alpha [with higher IRR] as 1. | |||
| Hence, there is conflict in ranking. | |||
| 4] | Change in required return does not affect IRR. Only NPVs are | ||
| affected. | |||
| 5] | The reason for conflicting ranking between NPV and IRR methods | ||
| is the assumption as to the rate at which the intermediary cash | |||
| flows are reinvested. | |||
| While the NPV assumes the same required rate of return [here | |||
| 11%] as the rate of reinvestment of intermediary cash flows for | |||
| all the projects, the IRR assumes the IRR of each project as the | |||
| rate of reinvestment for their intermediary cash flows. Such a | |||
| difference magnifies the difference in PVs of the cash flows when | |||
| the rate changes. | |||
| 6] | The better assumption is that of NPV, as the discount rate used by | ||
| NPV is the cost of capital, which is what the firm can earn on its | |||
| cash flows. In contrast the IRR uses as many rates as there are | |||
| projects, which is not going to happen, especially where the IRR | |||
| is much higher than the cost of capital. | |||
| 7] | If there is a conflict, the NPV verdict should be accepted. That is | ||
| Project Beta should be accepted. This is because, the projects | |||
| have equal lives. | |||
| If the projects do not have equal lives, then the equivalent annual | |||
| NPV should be calculated, and the one with the higher value | |||
| should be accepted. | |||
| 8] | The MIRR can also be used to resolve the conflict. | ||
| For MIRR it is assumed that the intermediary cash flows are | |||
| reinvested at the cost of capital and then IRR is worked out. | |||
| Project Alpha: | |||
| FV of cash inflows = 32000*(1.11^5-1)/0.11 = | $ 1,99,290 | ||
| MIRR = (199290/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.79% | ||
| Project Beta: | |||
| MIRR = (200000/100000)^(1/5)-1 = | 14.87% | ||
| As Beta has higher MIRR, it should be selected. |