In: Statistics and Probability
The breaking strength of cables produced by manufacture have a mean value of 1800 pound (lb) and a standard deviation of 100 lb. By a new technique in the manufacturing process, it is claimed that the breaking strength can be increased. To test this claim, a sample of 50 cables is tested and it is found that the mean breaking strength is 1850 lb. Based on the above information, answer the following four questions:
a) Formulate your hypothesis and write the meaning of the hypothesis
b) Perform your hypothesis test with 95% and 99% confidence interval
c) Construct a 95% and 99% confidence intervals
d) Make your final conclusion
SOLUTION:
From given data,
The breaking strength of cables produced by manufacture have a mean value of 1800 pound (lb) and a standard deviation of 100 lb. By a new technique in the manufacturing process, it is claimed that the breaking strength can be increased. To test this claim, a sample of 50 cables is tested and it is found that the mean breaking strength is 1850 lb. Based on the above information, answer the following four questions:
Where,
Mean = = 1800
Standard deviation = S = 100
Sample size = n = 50
Sample mean = = 1850
a) Formulate your hypothesis and write the meaning of the hypothesis
Test hypothesis:
H0 : = 1800 (null hypothesis)
Ha : > 1800 (Alternative hypothesis)
The meaning of the hypothesis
Hypothesis is an assumption about the population parameter
b) Perform your hypothesis test with 95% and 99% confidence interval
Test statistics:
Z = (X-) / (S/sqrt(n))
Z = (1850-1800) / (100/sqrt(50))
Z = 3.5355
P-value:
P-value = P(Z > 3.5355)
P-value = 1 - P(Z < 3.5355)
P-value = 1 - 0.99977
P-value = 0.0002
95% confidence interval
Confidence interval is 95%
95% = 95/100 = 0.95
= 1 - Confidence interval = 1-0.95 = 0.05
P-value = 0.0002 < = 0.05
99% confidence interval
Confidence interval is 99%
99% = 99/100 = 0.99
= 1 - Confidence interval = 1-0.99 = 0.01
P-value = 0.0002 < = 0.01
We reject the null hypothesis at 99% and 95% .
c) Construct a 95% and 99% confidence intervals
95% confidence interval
Confidence interval is 95%
95% = 95/100 = 0.95
= 1 - Confidence interval = 1-0.95 = 0.05
/2 = 0.05 / 2
= 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
for the population mean µ
Z/2 (S / )
Z0.025 (S / )
1850 1.96 (100 / )
1850 1.96 (100 /7.0710678)
1850 1.96 14.1421356
1850 27.71858
(1850-27.71858 , 1850+27.71858)
(1822.28 , 1877.71)
99% confidence interval
Confidence interval is 99%
99% = 99/100 = 0.99
= 1 - Confidence interval = 1-0.99 = 0.01
/2 = 0.01 / 2
= 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.58
Z/2 (S / )
Z0.005 (S / )
1850 2.58 (100 / )
1850 2.58 (100 /7.0710678)
1850 2.58 14.1421356
1850 36.48670
(1850-36.48670 , 1850+36.48670)
(1813.51 , 1886.48)
d) Make your final conclusion
We reject the null hypothesis at 99% and 95% .