Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Engineers concerned about a tower's stability have done extensive studies of its increasing tilt. Measurements of...

Engineers concerned about a tower's stability have done extensive studies of its increasing tilt. Measurements of the lean of the tower over time provide much useful information. The following table gives measurements for the years 1975 to 1987. The variable "lean" represents the difference between where a point on the tower would be if the tower were straight and where it actually is. The data are coded as tenths of a millimeter in excess of 2.9 meters, so that the 1975 lean, which was 2.9647 meters, appears in the table as 647. Only the last two digits of the year were entered into the computer.

Year 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87
Lean 647 650 661 673 678 694 701 704 718 722 730 748 763

(a) Plot the data. Consider whether or not the trend in lean over time appears to be linear. (Do this on paper. Your instructor may ask you to turn in this graph.)

(b) What is the equation of the least-squares line? (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
y =  +  x

What percent of the variation in lean is explained by this line? (Round your answer to one decimal place.)
%

(c) Give a 99% confidence interval for the average rate of change (tenths of a millimeter per year) of the lean. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Let independent variable, X : Year

Dependent variable, Y : Lean

(a)

Following is the scatter plot:

(b)

Following table shows the calculations:

X Y X^2 Y^2 XY
75 647 5625 418609 48525
76 650 5776 422500 49400
77 661 5929 436921 50897
78 673 6084 452929 52494
79 678 6241 459684 53562
80 694 6400 481636 55520
81 701 6561 491401 56781
82 704 6724 495616 57728
83 718 6889 515524 59594
84 722 7056 521284 60648
85 730 7225 532900 62050
86 748 7396 559504 64328
87 763 7569 582169 66381
Total 1053 9089 85475 6370677 737908

(b)

That is 98.8% of the variation in lean is explained by this line.

(c)


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