In: Statistics and Probability
the following data represent the maximum wind speed (in knots) and atmospheric pressure (in millibars) for a random sample of 20 hurricanes that originated over the Atlantic Ocean in the last decade. A table of summary statistics for this data (as calculated in Homework 9) is also provided below.
In Homework 9, we determined the equation of the least-squares
regression line:
and also calculated the estimated standard error of the
model:
Use the information given above to complete the following statements. Perform each calculation using a single step in your calculator, and report your answers rounded to 3 decimal places.
a) Based on this model, when barometric pressure is 970 millibars, the wind speed of Atlantic hurricanes is roughly knots, on average.
b) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the mean wind speed of all Atlantic hurricanes with a barometric pressure of 970 millibars is between knots and knots.
c) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the wind speed of an individual Atlantic hurricane with a barometric pressure of 970 millibars is between knots and knots
the following data represent the maximum wind speed (in knots) and atmospheric pressure (in millibars) for a random sample of 20 hurricanes that originated over the Atlantic Ocean in the last decade. A table of summary statistics for this data (as calculated in Homework 9) is also provided below.
In Homework 9, we determined the equation of the least-squares
regression line:
y with hat on top equals 1250.350 minus 1.204 x
and also calculated the estimated standard error of the
model:
s subscript e equals 7.8660
Use the information given above to complete the following statements. Perform each calculation using a single step in your calculator, and report your answers rounded to 3 decimal places.
a) Based on this model, when barometric pressure is 970
millibars, the wind speed of Atlantic hurricanes is roughly
82.47
knots, on average.
b) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the mean wind
speed of all Atlantic hurricanes with a barometric pressure of 970
millibars is between
knots and
knots.
c) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the wind speed
of an individual Atlantic hurricane with a barometric pressure of
970 millibars is between
knots and
knots
Solution:-
Given that
The following data represent the maximum wind speed (in knots) and atmospheric pressure (in millibars) for a random sample of 20 hurricanes that originated over the Atlantic Ocean in the last decade. A table of summary statistics for this data (as calculated in Homework 9) is also provided below.
a) Based on this model, when barometric pressure is 970 millibars, the wind speed of Atlantic hurricanes is roughly 82.47 knots, on average.
Predicted Y at X = 970 is
b) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the mean wind speed of all Atlantic hurricanes with a barometric pressure of 970 millibars is between knots and knots.
X value = 970
Confidence level = 95%
Sample size, n = 20
Degrees of freedom, df = n - 2 = 18
Critical value = = 2.101
[excel function:=t.inv.2]
Standard Error of the Estimate, Se = 7.9610
Standard error,
margin of error,
E = 2.1009 * 2.2004
= 4.6229
Confidence Lower limit =
= 82.541 - 4.623
= 77.918
Confidence Upper limit =
= 82.541 + 4.623
= 87.164
c) Based on this model, we are 95% confident that the wind speed of an individual Atlantic hurricane with a barometric pressure of 970 millibars is between knots and knots
For Individual Response Y
Standard error,
margin of error,
E = 2.1009 * 8.26
E = 17.3525
Prediction Interval Lower limit =
= 82.541 - 17.35
= 65.188
Prediction Interval Upper limit =
= 82.541 - 17.35
= 99.893
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