In: Statistics and Probability
#1. It seems logical that restaurant chains with more restaurants (units) would have greater sales. This is mitigated by several possibilities. Use the data below to answer whether there is a positive relationship between the number of restaurants and sales. Provide a precise quantitative explanation.
Chain | Sales ($ Billions) | No. of Restaurants (1000s) |
McDonald's | 17.1 | 12.4 |
Burger King | 7.9 | 7.5 |
Taco Bell | 4.8 | 6.8 |
Pizza Hut | 4.7 | 8.7 |
Wendy's | 4.6 | 4.6 |
KFC | 4.0 | 5.1 |
Subway | 2.9 | 11.2 |
Dairy Queen | 2.7 | 5.1 |
Hardee's | 2.7 | 2.9 |
#2. It seems logical that restaurant chains with more restaurants (units) would have greater sales. This is mitigated by several possibilities. Speculate on why this relationship may not hold. Give at least two possibilities.
Solution
#1
Final answers are given below. Back-up Theory and Details of calculations follow at the end.
There is a positive relationship between the number of restaurants and sales. Answer 1
Quantitatively,
Correlation coefficient = 0.6361 Answer 2
and
the regression equation is:
sales = - 0.8636 + 0.9203 x number of restaurants Answer 3
Back-up Theory and Details of calculations
The linear regression model: Y = β0 + β1X + ε, ……………………..............................................................…………………..(1)
where ε is the error term, which is assumed to be Normally distributed with mean 0 and variance σ2.
Estimated Regression of Y on X is given by: Yhat = β0hat + β1hatX, ………….......................................................………….(2)
β1cap = Sxy/Sxx and β0cap = Ybar – β1cap.Xbar.............………………........................................................…………….…..(3)
Correlation coefficient, r = Sxy/sqrt(Sxx. Syy) ……………………………………................................................................. (4)
where
[Mean X = Xbar = (1/n) Σ(i = 1 to n)xi ; Mean Y = Ybar = (1/n) Σ(i = 1 to n)yi Sxx = Σ(i = 1 to n)(xi – Xbar)2
Syy = Σ(i = 1 to n)(yi – Ybar)2 ; Sxy = Σ(i = 1 to n){(xi – Xbar)(yi – Ybar)} ] ........................................................................ (5)
n |
9 |
Xbar |
7.1444 |
ybar |
5.7111 |
Sxx |
79.5822 |
Syy |
166.5489 |
Sxy |
73.2356 |
β1cap |
0.9203 |
β0cap |
-0.8636 |
r |
0.6361 |
#2
Two two possibilities are:
Sales volume (quantity) variation among restaurants of the same company
Price per unit variation among restaurants of the same company.
The relationship that has been established is between sales value and number of restaurants.
Sales value is directly dependent on both sales volume and unit price. Thus, if a chain has large number of restaurants, but a few of them have low volume, low unit price, or both, the total sales value would drastically come down upsetting the relationship. Answer 4
DONE