In: Finance
Current stock price is $50; volatility is 40%; risk-free rate is 5%. We have an American style put option expires in 6 months. Its strike price is the maximum price over the life of the option; this means: its payoff in 6 months is max(0, Smax – ST). No dividend payments during the 6 months. Use a 2-step CRR binomial model to price this option.
T = 6 months; n = 2 steps;
t = T / n = 6 months / 2 = 3 months = 3/12 = 0.25 year
d = 1/u = 0.8187
p = risk neutral probability of an up move
Strock price tree
Path | S0 | S1 | S2 | Smax | Payoff = max (0, Smax - S2) | Joint probability | Joint probability value | Probability x payoff |
A - B - D | 50.00 | u x S0 = 61.07 | u x S1 = 74.59 | 74.59 | - | p x p | 0.23 | - |
A - B - E | 50.00 | u x S0 = 61.07 | d x S1 = 50.00 | 61.07 | 11.07 | p x (1 - p) | 0.25 | 2.76 |
A - C - E | 50.00 | d x S0 = 40.94 | u x S1 = 50.00 | 50.00 | - | (1 - p) x p | 0.25 | - |
A - C - F | 50.00 | d x S0 = 40.94 | d x S1 = 33.52 | 50.00 | 16.48 | (1 - p) x (1 - p) | 0.27 | 4.43 |
Total | 7.20 |
Hence, price of the put option = PV of probability weighted payoff = Probability weighted payoff x e-rT
= 7.20 x e-0.05 x 6/12 = $ 7.02