In: Statistics and Probability
6. If ?(?) = 0.5 and ?(?|?) = 0.4, are events ? and ? independent? Why or why not?
7. A report on addiction notes that 16% of Americans have the disease of addiction, and 90% of them receive no form of treatment. Determine the probability that a randomly selected American has the disease of addiction and receives no form of treatment.
Solution:
Question 6)
Given:?(?) = 0.5 and ?(?|?) = 0.4
We have to find if events ? and ? independent or not.
Events ? and ? independent if and only if:
P( B | A ) = P( B )
Since P( B | A ) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5
thus P( B | A ) P( B )
Thus events ? and ? are not independent.
Question 7)
Given:
P( American has the disease of addiction) = 16% = 0.16
and
90% of them receive no form of treatment
Thus we have:
P( Receive no form of treatment given that American has the disease of addiction) = 0.90
Let A = American has the disease of addiction and B = Receive no form of treatment
thus we have:
P(A) = 0.16 and P( B | A) = 0.90
We have to determine the probability that a randomly selected American has the disease of addiction and receives no form of treatment.
That is:
P( American has the disease of addiction and receives no form of treatment)= .............?
That is:
P( A and B) = ............?
Using conditional probability formula we get:
that is:
Thus the probability that a randomly selected American has the disease of addiction and receives no form of treatment is 0.144