In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose many classes took the same psychology exam and the average individual grade on the psychology exam is 70% (with a standard deviation of 10.4%). How much less likely is it to find a class (n=17) with an average on the psychology exam to be 75% than a single person with an average of 75% on the psychology exam?
Solution:
We are given
µ = 70
σ = 10.4
First find probability for individual score X, that is, P(X<75)
Z = (X - µ)/σ
Z = (75 - 70)/10.4
Z = 0.480769
P(Z<0.480769) = P(X<75) = 0.68466
(by using z-table)
Now find probability for average score X̄, that is, P(X̄<75)
Z = (X̄ - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (75 – 70)/[10.4/sqrt(17)]
Z = 5/2.522371
Z = 1.982262
P(Z<1.982262) = P(X̄<75) = 0.976275
(by using z-table)
Difference in above two probabilities = 0.976275 - 0.68466 = 0.291615
So, it is approximately 29% less likely to find a class (n=17) with an average on the psychology exam to be 75% than a single person with an average of 75% on the psychology exam.