In: Finance
A HCO is considering its capital budget for the coming year, five projects are under consideration. Management uses the Profitability Index to rank projects. Given this information, which projects would you recommend the organization undertake with a 4.5 million budget?
CCC | 5.50% | ||||
High risk | 2.50% | ||||
Low risk | 2.00% | ||||
Project A | Project B | Project C | Project D | Project E | |
Low Risk | High Risk | Average Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | |
Year 0 | (1,750,000) | (2,250,000) | (2,000,000) | (2,000,000) | (2,500,000) |
Year 1 | 450,000 | 400,000 | 500,000 | 400,000 | 400,000 |
Year 2 | 550,000 | 500,000 | 600,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 |
Year 3 | 650,000 | 1,100,000 | 800,000 | 600,000 | 1,000,000 |
Year 4 | 750,000 | 1,500,000 | 900,000 | 700,000 | 1,100,000 |
1] | The PIs of the 5 projects are calculated below: | ||||
PROJECT A: | |||||
CCC = 5.50%-2.00% = 3.5% [being of low risk] | |||||
Year | Cash flow | PVIF at 3.5% | PV at 3.5% | ||
1 | 450000 | 0.96618 | 434783 | ||
2 | 550000 | 0.93351 | 513431 | ||
3 | 650000 | 0.90194 | 586263 | ||
4 | 750000 | 0.87144 | 653582 | ||
Sum of PV of cash inflows | 2188058 | ||||
Initial investment | 1750000 | ||||
PI = Sum of PV of cash inflows/Initial investment = | 1.25 | ||||
PROJECT B: | |||||
CCC = 5.50%+2.50% = 8.0% [being of high risk] | |||||
Year | Cash flow | PVIF at 8.0% | PV at 8.0% | ||
1 | 400000 | 0.92593 | 370370 | ||
2 | 500000 | 0.85734 | 428669 | ||
3 | 1100000 | 0.79383 | 873215 | ||
4 | 1500000 | 0.73503 | 1102545 | ||
Sum of PV of cash inflows | 2774800 | ||||
Initial investment | 2250000 | ||||
PI = Sum of PV of cash inflows/Initial investment = | 1.23 | ||||
PROJECT C: | |||||
CCC = 5.50% [being of average risk] | |||||
Year | Cash flow | PVIF at 5.5% | PV at 5.5% | ||
1 | 500000 | 0.94787 | 473934 | ||
2 | 600000 | 0.89845 | 539071 | ||
3 | 800000 | 0.85161 | 681291 | ||
4 | 900000 | 0.80722 | 726495 | ||
Sum of PV of cash inflows | 2420791 | ||||
Initial investment | 2000000 | ||||
PI = Sum of PV of cash inflows/Initial investment = | 1.21 | ||||
PROJECT D: | |||||
CCC = 5.50% [being of average risk] | |||||
Year | Cash flow | PVIF at 5.5% | PV at 5.5% | ||
1 | 400000 | 0.94787 | 379147 | ||
2 | 500000 | 0.89845 | 449226 | ||
3 | 600000 | 0.85161 | 510968 | ||
4 | 700000 | 0.80722 | 565052 | ||
Sum of PV of cash inflows | 1904393 | ||||
Initial investment | 2000000 | ||||
PI = Sum of PV of cash inflows/Initial investment = | 0.95 | ||||
PROJECT E: | |||||
CCC = 5.50%+2.50% = 8.0% [being of high risk] | |||||
Year | Cash flow | PVIF at 8.0% | PV at 8.0% | ||
1 | 400000 | 0.92593 | 370370 | ||
2 | 500000 | 0.85734 | 428669 | ||
3 | 1000000 | 0.79383 | 793832 | ||
4 | 1100000 | 0.73503 | 808533 | ||
Sum of PV of cash inflows | 2401405 | ||||
Initial investment | 2500000 | ||||
PI = Sum of PV of cash inflows/Initial investment = | 0.96 | ||||
2] | THE RESULTS ARE TABULATED BELOW: | ||||
PROJECT | INITIAL INVESTMENT | PI | ACCEPT/REJECT | RANK | |
A | 1750000 | 1.25 | ACCEPT | 1 | |
B | 2250000 | 1.23 | ACCEPT | 2 | |
C | 2000000 | 1.21 | ACCEPT | 3 | |
D | 2000000 | 0.95 | REJECT | ||
E | 2500000 | 0.96 | REJECT | ||
Projects D & E are to be rejected, as they have PI<1, indicating that they have | |||||
negative NPVs. | |||||
So the allocation would be rankwise: | |||||
A | 1750000 | ||||
B | 2250000 | ||||
Total investment | 4000000 | ||||
Balance left | 500000 | ||||
If the project C is scalable, then it can be implemented by scaling down the initial | |||||
Investment to 500,000. The cash inflows and the NPV would get reduced proportionately. | |||||
If C is not scalable, Projects A & B should be implemented, the uninvested amount being | |||||
500000 |