Question

In: Statistics and Probability

How would you go about creating a linear regression model to predict the 2020 Presidential Election?

How would you go about creating a linear regression model to predict the 2020 Presidential Election?

Solutions

Expert Solution

It may be hard to believe, but the 2020 presidential election is roughly many days away. In what is shaping up to be another contentious year in politics, forecasts predict an unprecedented number of voters will turn out to vote for nominees that will undoubtedly have very different agendas for our country’s future.

As the Democratic party seeks to win over ex-leader voters over the next year, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back at the 2016 election results to identify factors that led to his success. During my analysis, it became quite clear that certain values and ideologies were predictive in estimating the percent of voters that cast their vote for President on a state-wide level.

By using linear regression, I created a model that captured close to 87 percent of the variability in the proportion of votes for President .

Now, for those that are more statistically survey, this model would by no means be effective at predicting the outcome of the 2020 election (or even the 2016 election), but it does tell us some valuable things about the way voters feel about certain “hot-button” issues and the effect they have on their decision to vote for President or not.

Here we analyze the data or then we say or predict who would win or not ,Here there is major role of data analysis on the basis of data.


Related Solutions

You want to develop a regression model about the 2004 presidential election. The objective is to...
You want to develop a regression model about the 2004 presidential election. The objective is to explain percentage of votes received by the Democratic candidate in each state. The explanatory variables are: (i) unemployment rate in each state, (ii) gender dummy (female =1 and male = 0), (iii) a dummy variable for Bill Clinton’s appearance in the state to campaign, (iv) an interaction term between the gender dummy and the Clinton dummy. You want to consider a variety of models....
You decide to go to work for a presidential candidate in the next election. You think...
You decide to go to work for a presidential candidate in the next election. You think that the way for you to get folks to vote for your candidate is to use some psychology. So, you make a deal with a soft-drink company to insert a picture of your candidate into its commercials for only a brief instant. It will be so quick that no one will notice the picture. That way, the candidate's image will enter viewers' subconscious minds...
How will the outcome of the Presidential Election in 2020 affect the national healthcare landscape for...
How will the outcome of the Presidential Election in 2020 affect the national healthcare landscape for the next four years? Write a brief essay
2020 will see another presidential election! Did you see the pun there (2020, see)? For this...
2020 will see another presidential election! Did you see the pun there (2020, see)? For this assignment, prepare a short write up about who the presidential candidates for 2020 are and what forms of media, including social media, that you are seeing. Include in your write up if there are any of the ads that are resonating with you in terms of candidate electability.
As we approach the 2020 presidential election how do you see the current political division affecting...
As we approach the 2020 presidential election how do you see the current political division affecting the future of the country?
A linear regression model is generated to predict the daily increase in covid 19 cases in...
A linear regression model is generated to predict the daily increase in covid 19 cases in Mumbai . y=2 X1 + 10 X2 + b(100) where Y= number of new cases daily, X1= no of incoming passenger flights in Mumbai, and X2= no of passenger train arriving in Mumbai; b= constant or predicted daily increase due to community transmission ,even if no passenger flight or trains are allowed into the city . Assume a1 and a2 are regression coefficeint for...
            Develop a simple linear regression model to predict the price of a house based upon...
            Develop a simple linear regression model to predict the price of a house based upon the living area (square feet) using a 95% level of confidence.             Write the reqression equation             Discuss the statistical significance of the model as a whole using the appropriate regression statistic at a 95% level of confidence.              Discuss the statistical significance of the coefficient for the independent variable using the appropriate regression statistic at a 95% level of confidence.             Interpret the...
How would you go about creating a subroutine in MARIE assembly language that swaps contents between...
How would you go about creating a subroutine in MARIE assembly language that swaps contents between two memory locations? In this instance the contents for each memory location are names
QUESTION 17 The process of creating a linear model of bivariate data. a. Least Squares Regression...
QUESTION 17 The process of creating a linear model of bivariate data. a. Least Squares Regression b. Variability c. Extrapolation d. Residual analysis QUESTION 18 The "Portion of Variability" is also known as the a. Correlation coefficient b. Regression line c. Fitted Value d. Coefficient of determination QUESTION 19 Linear regression models may not always acccurately reflect the pattern of data from which they are made a. TRUE b. FALSE QUESTION 20 The following data relates the time a student...
Develop a simple linear regression model to predict a person’s income (INCOME) based on their age...
Develop a simple linear regression model to predict a person’s income (INCOME) based on their age (AGE) using a 95% level of confidence. a. Write the regression equation. Discuss the statistical significance of the model as whole using the appropriate regression statistic at a 95% level of confidence. Discuss the statistical significance of the coefficient for the independent variable using the appropriate regression statistic at a 95% level of confidence. Interpret the coefficient for the independent variable. What percentage of...
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT