In: Statistics and Probability
The lawyer takes an average of 10 minutes with each client. Assuming that
arrivals are Poisson distributed and the legal service time is exponentially
distributed, answer the following questions:
Solution
The solution is based of the theory of M/M/1 queue system
Back-up Theory
An M/M/1 queue system is characterized by arrivals following Poisson pattern with average rate λ, [this is also the same as exponential arrival with average inter-arrival time = 1/λ] service time following Exponential Distribution with average service time of (1/µ) [this is also the same as Poisson service with average service rate = µ] and single service channel.
Let n = number of customers in the system and m = number of customers in the queue.
[Trivially, n = m + number of customers under service.]
Traffic Intensity = ρ = (λ/µ)…………………………………………………………........................................………..(A)
The steady-state probability of n customers in the system is given by Pn = ρn(1 - ρ) …...........................………(1)
The steady-state probability of no customers in the system is given by P0 = (1 - ρ) …............................….……(2)
Average queue length = E(m) = (λ2)/{µ(µ - λ)} ………………………………………….....................................…..(3)
Average number of customers in the system = E(n) = (λ)/(µ - λ) = ρ/(1 – ρ)……….…................................……..(4)
Average waiting time = E(w) = (λ)/{µ(µ - λ)} = (1/µ)ρ/(1 – ρ) = E(n)/µ ………………..................................……..(5)
Average time spent in the system = E(v) = {1/(µ - λ)}……………………………..................................…………..(6)
Percentage idle time of service channel = P0 = (1 - ρ) ……………………………...............................…………..(7)
Probability of waiting = 1 - P0 = ρ …………………..………………………………....................................………..(8)
Now, to work out the solution,
Given λ = 2.5 per hour, µ = 6 per hour [10 minutes per client => 6 clients per 60 minutes.], ρ = 2.5/6 = 5/12 .... (9)
Q1
Vide (3), average queue length = 6.25/(6 x 3.5) = 0.3 client Answer 1
Vide (4), Average number of customers in the system = 2.5/3.5 = 0.7 client Answer 2
Vide (5), Average waiting time = 2.5/(6 x 3.5) = 0.12 hour = 7.2 minutes Answer 3
Vide (6), Average time spent in the system = 1/3.5 = 0.29 hour = 17 minutes Answer 4
Vide (7), Percentage idle time of service channel = 100(1 – 5/12) = 700/12 = 58.33% Answer 5
Vide (8), Probability of waiting = 5/12 = 0.42 Answer 6
Q2
Vide Answer 3, service goal of maximum waiting time of 5 minutes is NOT met. Answer 7
Recommendation:
Service time needs to be reduced, may be by appointing an assisitant to the lawyer or improving service mechanism. Answer 8
Q3
When service time per client is reduced to 8 minutes, service rate = 60/8 = 7.5 clients per hour. Answer 9
With µ = 7.5, Vide (5), Average waiting time = 2.5/(7.5 x 5) = 1/15 hour = 4 minutes Answer 10
Clearly, service goal of maximum waiting time of 5 minutes is met. Answer 11
DONE