In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following time series data.
| Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 
| Value | 19 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 
Using the naïve method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy.
| (a) | Mean absolute error | 
| If required, round your answer to one decimal place. | |
| (b) | Mean squared error | 
| If required, round your answer to one decimal place. | |
| (c) | Mean absolute percentage error | 
| If required, round your intermediate calculations and final answer to two decimal places. | |
| (d) | What is the forecast for week 7? |