In: Finance
Central Valley Transit Inc. (CVT) has just signed a contract to purchase light rail cars from a manufacturer in Germany for 5,000,000 €. The purchase is made in June today with payment due six months later in December. Because this is a sizable contract for the firm and because the contract is in € rather than $, CVT is considering several hedging alternatives to reduce the exchange rate risk arising from the sale. To help the firm make a hedging decision you have gathered the following information.
Based on the information provided above:
SPOT RATE OF I EURO | 1.28 | $ | ||
I $ | 0.7813 | EURO | ||
1 | Forward Hedge | |||
Forward rate 1 EURO | 1.34 | $ | ||
Purchase of Euro for six months forward | 5000000 | 6700000 | $ | |
2 | Money market hedge | |||
The Euro zone borrowing rate is 12% annually. | ||||
The Euro zone lending rate is 10% annually. | ||||
The U.S. 6-month borrowing rate is 9% annually. | ||||
The U.S. 6-month lending rate is 4%. | ||||
Borrow Dollar convert Euro and invest in Euro and repay dollar after 180 days | ||||
Amount to be paid | 5000000 | Euro | ||
Amount to be invested | ||||
Deposit ineterst of Euro six months | 10%/2 | 5% | ||
Amount to be dposited | 5000000/(1+.05) | 4761904.76 | Euro | |
SPOT RATE OF I EURO | 1.28 | $ | ||
Amount of borrowing in USD | Amount of depoist in Euro * spot rate | |||
4761904.76*1.28 | 6095238.093 | |||
Interst for six months | 9%*6/12 | 4.50% | ||
Interst | 6095238.093*4.5% | 274285.7142 | ||
Total payment( Principal+Interest) | 6369523.807 | $ | ||
3 | Option Hedge | |||
Purchase a call option | ||||
Assuming that the option to be excersised on the day the Euro are needed | ||||
Ecersise price Euro | 1.32 | $ | ||
Premium | 2.50% | |||
0.033 | $ | |||
1.353 | $ | |||
Expected future spot rate | 1.29 | $ | ||
As the expected spot rate is 1.290$ againt 1 Euro is lower than the excercise price | ||||
call option I Euro 1.353, the compnay will not exercise the price , if eccercise the amount is | ||||
5000000*1.353 | 6765000 | $ | ||
4 | If remain unhedged | |||
Six months expected spot rate is | 1.29 | $ | ||
so the amount is | 5000000*1.29 | 6450000 | ||
5 | If paid at the current rate by taking a loan | |||
Cost of capiatl | 14% | |||
Six month rate | 14/2 | 7% | ||
Then amount | 5000000*1.28* | 6400000 | ||
Interst for six months @ 7% | 448000 | |||
Total amount | 6848000 | $ | ||
CONCLUSION | ||||
From the above different methods money market hedge is the best option. | ||||
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