In: Statistics and Probability
We consider data in the following table, summarizing sales of a product (in thousands). For each of the questions, justify your answer. Year Quarter Sales 2015 1 2 3 4 4.95 4.25 6.15 6.65 2016 1 2 3 4 5.85 5.35 6.95 7.55 2017 1 2 3 4 6.15 5.75 7.65 7.95 (3.1) Assuming the given time-series shows evidence of seasonality, Determine the estimate sales values. (5) (3.2) What is the value of the root mean squared error for the given process? (5) (3.3) Ignoring seasonality and assuming the the time-series as given follows an AR(1) process, what is the expected sales value for the first quarter of 2018? (5)