In: Statistics and Probability
A psychologist is interested in constructing a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain. 56 of the 754 randomly selected people who were surveyed agreed with this theory.
a. With 99% confidence the proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain is between___ and___ .
b. If many groups of 754 randomly selected people are surveyed, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About___ percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain and about___ percent will not contain the true population proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 56 / 754 = 0.0743
1 -
= 1 - 0.0743 = 0.9257
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 * ((
* (1 -
))
/ n)
= 2.576 (((0.0743
* 0.9257) / 754)
= 0.0246
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.0743 ± 0.0246
= ( 0.0497, 0.0989 )
a. With 99% confidence the proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain is between 0.0497 and 0.0989.
b. If many groups of 754 randomly selected people are surveyed, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About 99 percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain and about 1 percent will not contain the true population proportion.