In: Statistics and Probability
A psychologist is interested in constructing a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain. 69 of the 823 randomly selected people who were surveyed agreed with this theory.
a. With 90% confidence the proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain is betweenand .
b. If many groups of 823 randomly selected people are surveyed, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain and about percent will not contain the true population proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 69 / 823 = 0.084
1 - = 1 - 0.084 = 0.916
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.084 * 0.916) / 823)
= 0.016
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.084 ± 0.016
= ( 0.068, 0.100 )
With 90% confidence the proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain is between 0.068 and 0.100
b. If many groups of 823 randomly selected people are surveyed, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About 90 percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population proportion of all people who accept the theory that a person's spirit is no more than the complicated network of neurons in the brain and about 10 percent will not contain the true population proportion.