In: Finance
State (Si) | P r(Si) | Return Growth Fund (S) | Return of Large Cap Fund (B) |
Boom |
.25 |
30% | 5.00% |
Moderate Growth | .20 | 12.50% | -4.50% |
Low Growth | .30 | 6.00% | 7.00% |
Recession | .25 | -20.00% | 11.50% |
If the risk free rate is 3%. Compute the weights of the Optimal Risky Portfolio
GROWTH FUND | |||||||||||
A | B | C=A*B | D=B-6.8 | E=D^2 | F=E*A | ||||||
State | Probability | Return (%) | Prob.*Return | Deviation from expected | Deviation squared | Deviation squared *Probability | |||||
Boom | 0.25 | 30 | 7.5 | 23.2 | 538.24 | 134.56 | |||||
Moderate growth | 0.2 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 32.49 | 6.498 | |||||
low growth | 0.3 | 6 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 0.64 | 0.192 | |||||
Recession | 0.25 | -20 | -5 | -26.8 | 718.24 | 179.56 | |||||
Total | 6.8 | TOTAL | 320.81 | ||||||||
Expected return | 6.80% | ||||||||||
Variance | 320.81 | ||||||||||
Sg=Standard Deviation | 17.91 | (Square root of variance | |||||||||
LARGE CAP FUND | |||||||||||
A | B | C=A*B | D=B-5.325 | E=D^2 | F=E*A | ||||||
State | Probability | Return (%) | Prob.*Return | Deviation from expected | Deviation squared | Deviation squared *Probability | |||||
Boom | 0.25 | 5 | 1.25 | -0.325 | 0.105625 | 0.02640625 | |||||
Moderate growth | 0.2 | -4.5 | -0.9 | -9.825 | 96.530625 | 19.306125 | |||||
low growth | 0.3 | 7 | 2.1 | 1.675 | 2.805625 | 0.8416875 | |||||
Recession | 0.25 | 11.5 | 2.875 | 6.175 | 38.130625 | 9.53265625 | |||||
Total | 5.325 | TOTAL | 29.706875 | ||||||||
Expected return | 5.325% | ||||||||||
Variance | 29.706875 | ||||||||||
Sl=Standard Deviation | 5.450 | (Square root of variance | |||||||||
w1=Weight ofGrowth Fund | |||||||||||
w2=Weight of Large cap fund | |||||||||||
w1+w2=1 | |||||||||||
Data on correlation coefficient or Covariance of return between these two folios are no given | |||||||||||
Assume that there is no correlation | |||||||||||
Rp= | Portfolio expected return=w1*(expected return of growth fund)+w2*(Expected return of large capfund)=w1*6.8+w2*5.325 | ||||||||||
Vp= | Portfolio Variance= | (w1^2)*(Sg^2)+(w2^2)*(Sl^2)= | (w1^2)*320.81+(w2^2)*29.706875 | ||||||||
Sharp Ratio of the portfolio=(Rp-Riskfree return)/Sp=(Rp-3)/Sp | |||||||||||
Sp=Square Root of Vp | |||||||||||
w1 | w2 | Rp=w1*6.8+w2*5.325 | Vp=(w1^2)*(sg^2)+(w2^2)*(Sl^2) | Sp=Square root of Vp | SR=(Rp-3)/Sp | ||||||
Weight of Growth fund | Weight of Large cap fund | Portfolio Return | Portfolio Variance | Portfolio Standard deviation | Sharp Ratio | ||||||
0.0 | 1.0 | 5.325 | 29.71 | 5.450688 | 0.4265517 | ||||||
0.1 | 0.9 | 5.4725 | 27.2732 | 5.222375 | 0.4734436 | ||||||
0.13 | 0.87 | 5.51675 | 27.909188 | 5.282915 | 0.4763942 | ||||||
0.2 | 0.8 | 5.62 | 31.8468 | 5.643297 | 0.4642676 | ||||||
0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7675 | 43.4308 | 6.590205 | 0.4199414 | ||||||
0.4 | 0.6 | 5.915 | 62.0252 | 7.875608 | 0.3701302 | ||||||
0.5 | 0.5 | 6.0625 | 87.63 | 9.36109 | 0.3271521 | ||||||
0.6 | 0.4 | 6.21 | 120.2452 | 10.96564 | 0.2927326 | ||||||
0.7 | 0.3 | 6.3575 | 159.8708 | 12.644 | 0.2655409 | ||||||
0.8 | 0.2 | 6.505 | 206.5068 | 14.37034 | 0.2439051 | ||||||
0.9 | 0.1 | 6.6525 | 260.1532 | 16.12927 | 0.2264517 | ||||||
1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 320.81 | 17.91117 | 0.2121581 | ||||||
OPTIMAL RISKY PORTFOLIO is the portfolio where Sharp Ratio (SR) is MAXIMUM | |||||||||||
OPTIMAL RISKY PORTFOLIO WILL HAVE w1=Weight of Groeth Fund=0.13=13% | |||||||||||
And w2=Weight of Large Cap Fund=0.87=87% | |||||||||||