Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Think of scenario in which probability can be used in everyday life ( weather forecasts, car...

Think of scenario in which probability can be used in everyday life ( weather forecasts, car insurance). Describe the how statistics of the probability could be used and what some outcomes of the probability . Site source.

Solutions

Expert Solution

1. Weather Forecasting

Before planning for an outing or a picnic, we always check the weather forecast. Suppose it says that there is a 60% chance that rain may occur. Do you ever wonder from where this 60% come from? Meteorologists use a specific tool and technique to predict the weather forecast. They look at all the other historical database of the days, which have similar characteristics of temperature, humidity, and pressure, etc. And determine that on 60 out of 100 similar days in the past, it had rained.

2. Batting Average in Cricket

Batting average in Cricket represents how many runs a batsman would score before getting out. For example, if a batsman had scored 40 runs out of 100 from boundaries in the previous match. Then, there is a chance that he would score 40% of his runs in the next match from boundaries.

3. Politics

Many politics analysts use the tactics of probability to predict the outcome of the election’s results. For example, they may predict a certain political party to come into power; based on the results of exit polls.

4. Flipping a coin or Dice

Flipping a coin is one of the most important events before the start of the match. There is no surety, either head will come or not. Both head and tail have 1 out of 2, i.e., 50% chances to occur. Hence, the probability of getting the desired outcome is 0.5. Similarly, while playing with dice, there are 1 out of 6 chances, that the required number will come.

5. Insurance

Probability helps in analyzing the best plan of insurance which suits you and your family the most. For example, you are an active smoker, and chances of getting lungs disease are higher in you. So, instead of choosing an insurance scheme for your vehicle or house, you may go for your health insurance first, because the chance of your getting sick are higher. For instance, nowadays people are getting their mobile phones insured because they know that the chances of their mobile phones getting damaged or lost are high.

6. Are we likely to die in an accident?

Rates of car accidents have increased rapidly in the past decades. For example, if a city has a population of one lakh, and the death rate in car accidents is 500. So, the chance of being killed in a crash is 500/1 lakh is 0.05%. Thus, a person has a 0.05% chance to die in a car accident.

7. Lottery Tickets

Winning or losing a lottery is one of the most interesting examples of probability. In a typical Lottery game, each player chooses six distinct numbers from a particular range. If all the six numbers on a ticket match with that of the winning lottery ticket, the ticket holder is a Jackpot winner- regardless of the order of the numbers. The probability of this happening is 1 out of 10 lakh.


Related Solutions

What is a good example of probability in everyday life? Summarize the situation and how probability...
What is a good example of probability in everyday life? Summarize the situation and how probability is relevant. Please be detailed in the response.
Think like an Original and/or traveler for a day in your everyday life and pretend that...
Think like an Original and/or traveler for a day in your everyday life and pretend that you are Seth Godin preparing your own "This is Broken" speech. Pick one of his categories, and describe one or two things that might seem out of place, ought to be done differently, or begs the question "why?" that might be the trigger for a startup opportunity. Include a picture if you have one.
A used car salesperson claims that the probability of he selling a used car to an...
A used car salesperson claims that the probability of he selling a used car to an individual looking to purchase a used car is 70% and this probability does not vary from individual to individual. Suppose 5 individuals come to speak to this salesperson one day. If his belief is correct, The probability (to 4 decimal places) that he will sell a car to the first individual he speaks to is ______ The probability (to 4 decimal places) that he...
Give 3 examples of which you've used marginal thinking in everyday life, explain the situation clearly...
Give 3 examples of which you've used marginal thinking in everyday life, explain the situation clearly and describe your thoughts.
Calculate the correlation of the two stocks below based on the scenario forecasts given: Probability Atlantis...
Calculate the correlation of the two stocks below based on the scenario forecasts given: Probability Atlantis Co. Baltazaar Inc. Boom 0.3            9 14% Normal 0.6               13 4% Bust 0.1 -10% -6% Provide your answer in decimals, rounded to two decimals.
Question A Let’s think about the use of Lists in everyday life. Provide an example and...
Question A Let’s think about the use of Lists in everyday life. Provide an example and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of using these types of Lists. Question B Considering the lessons on menu logic and the use of arrays and loops, how does this change your programming capabilities? What kind of programs can you now create utilizing these powerful programming tools? Describe an example program that, before this week, was not possible or infeasible for you to program.
6) Provide an example of counting in your everyday life. Think of an example where you...
6) Provide an example of counting in your everyday life. Think of an example where you could use a counting method and describe the method.
Describe a real life scenario in which you used negotiation to resolve an issue. Discuss the...
Describe a real life scenario in which you used negotiation to resolve an issue. Discuss the negotiation technique you used to reach a mutually satisfactory agreement.
Think of a recent purchase you made in your everyday life. Explain how the purchasing process...
Think of a recent purchase you made in your everyday life. Explain how the purchasing process would be different if you were buying the same product for a firm on a regular basis versus purchasing it for yourself. Please write clear complete sentences and answer the question with great detail.
Think of a recent purchase you made in your everyday life. Explain how the purchasing process...
Think of a recent purchase you made in your everyday life. Explain how the purchasing process would be different if you were buying the same product for a firm on a regular basis versus purchasing it for yourself. Please write clearly and legibly. Answer this question with great detail. Thanks
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT