In: Finance
Explain what the yield curve and the expectations hypothesis is.
a) Suppose that the interest rate on one-year bonds is currently 2 percent and is expected to be 3 percent in one year and 4 percent in two years. Using the expectations hypothesis, compute the yield curve for the next three years and show it graphically.
b) Given the data in the accompanying table, would you say that this economy is heading for a boom or for a recession? Explain your choice.
3-month Treasury-bill |
10-year Treasury bond |
Baa corporate |
|
January |
1.5% |
3.5% |
7.5% |
February |
1.55% |
4.0% |
7.7% |
March |
1.60% |
4.4% |
8.0% |
April |
1.70% |
4.8% |
8.2% |
May |
1.75% |
5.0% |
8.2% |
c) Find the US Yield curve, show it graphically and explain if the economy is heading for a boom or for a recession? Explain your choice.