In: Finance
6. Pure expectations theory
The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates.
The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 4.9200%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 6.6420% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
9.5672%
10.6582%
7.1335%
8.3923%
Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.9200% and 6.6420% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.2%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
10.1423%
9.1042%
6.7882%
7.9861%
Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
5.46%
6.45%
6.53%
6.69%