In: Advanced Math
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is
15
billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of
2.1%
and population of
3
billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of
6.8
billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about
1.2%
per year?
What is the base growth rate?
Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is 15 billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of 2.1% and population of 3 billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of 6.8 billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about 1.2% per year? What is the base growth rate?
We suppose in the logistic model that the population, in billions, is given by the expression
where
is the number of years after
. Here
is the carrying capacity, 15 billion. Then
.
We have that
is the population in
, 3 billion. Therrefore
and
.
We have
.
Then,
and
.
The population now (2020) is given by
.
The model overestimates the population.
As for the population, the model also overestimates the growth rate.
The base growth rate is
.