In: Finance
The years of service for the bridge exceed the original design life. As a result of last year's inspection, engineers at the Minnesota Department of Transportation (MnDOT) decided to replace the bridge. Based on past experience, the engineers identified two significantly different design options: a steel design option, and a concrete design option. The engineers computed preliminary cost estimates for the two competing options.
Steel Design
The steel bridge is estimated to cost $20,000,000 now with a
salvage value of $3,000,000 at the end of its 20 years. Maintenance
costs on the steel bridge are estimated at $100,000 per year for
the first 3 years, and then increase by $20,000 per year for the
next 17 years (i.e. $120,000 in the fourth year, $140,000 in the
fifth year, etc.).
Concrete Design
The concrete bridge is estimated to cost $17,000,000 with a
negative salvage value of $2,000,000 (demolition cost). Maintenance
costs on the concrete bridge are estimated at $200,000 per year for
the full 20 year life of the bridge.
Questions
(a) Using an effective annual interest rate of 7%, compute the
present worth and the equivalent uniform annual cost for both of
the options.
(b) Which of these two options is economically most attractive?
(c) Holding everything else fixed (as given in the original problem statement), what effective annual interest rate would make these two options economically equivalent?
PLEASE ANSWER WHAT YOU CAN IN EXCEL PLEASE THANK YOU
Annual interest rate = 7%
PV = C + C1/(1+r) + C2/(1+r)2 + C3/(1+r)3 + C4/(1+r)4 ….. Ct/(1+r)20 - S/(1+r)20
Where, Ct is cost at time=t
S is salvage value
r is interest rate
PV of cost of Steel Bridge
Year (t) |
Cost incurred (C) =Acquisition cost + Maintenance cost - Salvage value |
Discounting factor (D) =(1/1+7%)t |
PV (C)*(D) |
0 |
20000000 |
1 |
20000000.00 |
1 |
100000 |
0.934579439 |
93457.94 |
2 |
100000 |
0.873438728 |
87343.87 |
3 |
100000 |
0.816297877 |
81629.79 |
4 |
120000 |
0.762895212 |
91547.43 |
5 |
140000 |
0.712986179 |
99818.07 |
6 |
160000 |
0.666342224 |
106614.76 |
7 |
180000 |
0.622749742 |
112094.95 |
8 |
200000 |
0.582009105 |
116401.82 |
9 |
220000 |
0.543933743 |
119665.42 |
10 |
240000 |
0.508349292 |
122003.83 |
11 |
260000 |
0.475092796 |
123524.13 |
12 |
280000 |
0.444011959 |
124323.35 |
13 |
300000 |
0.414964448 |
124489.33 |
14 |
320000 |
0.387817241 |
124101.52 |
15 |
340000 |
0.36244602 |
123231.65 |
16 |
360000 |
0.338734598 |
121944.46 |
17 |
380000 |
0.31657439 |
120298.27 |
18 |
400000 |
0.295863916 |
118345.57 |
19 |
420000 |
0.276508333 |
116133.50 |
20 |
-2560000 |
0.258419003 |
-661552.65 |
PV of cost of Steel Bridge = Sum of PV = $21,465,417.00
Equivalent uniform annual cost:
PV = C/(1+r) + C/(1+r)2 + C/(1+r)3 + C/(1+r)4 ….. C/(1+r)20
where c is Equivalent uniform annual cost
For steel bridge,
21465417 = C/(1+7%) + C/(1+7%)2 + C/(1+7%)3 + C/(1+7%)4 ….. C/(1+7%)20
Solve for C, C= 2026183.51
Equivalent uniform annual cost for steel bridge = $2,026,183.51
PV of cost of Concrete Bridge
Year (t) |
Cost incurred (C) = Acquisition cost + Maintenance cost + demolition cost |
Discounting factor (D) =1/(1+7%)t |
PV (C)*(D) |
0 |
17000000 |
1 |
17000000.00 |
1 |
200000 |
0.934579439 |
186915.89 |
2 |
200000 |
0.873438728 |
174687.75 |
3 |
200000 |
0.816297877 |
163259.58 |
4 |
200000 |
0.762895212 |
152579.04 |
5 |
200000 |
0.712986179 |
142597.24 |
6 |
200000 |
0.666342224 |
133268.44 |
7 |
200000 |
0.622749742 |
124549.95 |
8 |
200000 |
0.582009105 |
116401.82 |
9 |
200000 |
0.543933743 |
108786.75 |
10 |
200000 |
0.508349292 |
101669.86 |
11 |
200000 |
0.475092796 |
95018.56 |
12 |
200000 |
0.444011959 |
88802.39 |
13 |
200000 |
0.414964448 |
82992.89 |
14 |
200000 |
0.387817241 |
77563.45 |
15 |
200000 |
0.36244602 |
72489.20 |
16 |
200000 |
0.338734598 |
67746.92 |
17 |
200000 |
0.31657439 |
63314.88 |
18 |
200000 |
0.295863916 |
59172.78 |
19 |
200000 |
0.276508333 |
55301.67 |
20 |
2200000 |
0.258419003 |
568521.81 |
PV of cost of Concrete Bridge = Sum of PV = $19,635,640.85
Equivalent uniform annual cost:
PV = C/(1+r) + C/(1+r)2 + C/(1+r)3 + C/(1+r)4 ….. C/(1+r)20
where c is Equivalent uniform annual cost
For steel bridge,
19635640.85 = C/(1+7%) + C/(1+7%)2 + C/(1+7%)3 + C/(1+7%)4 ….. C/(1+7%)20
Solve for C, C= 1,853,465.59
Equivalent uniform annual cost for concrete bridge = $1,853,465.59
b) Concrete Bridge is economically most attractive as the PV of cost of concrete bridge is less than that of steel bridge.
c)
Let us assume interest rate is r% in order to make these two options economically equivalent.
Cs + C1s/(1+r) + C2s /(1+r)2 + C3s /(1+r)3 + C4s /(1+r)4 ….. Cts /(1+r)20 – Ss/(1+r)20 = Cc + C1c /(1+r) + C2c/(1+r)2 + C3c/(1+r)3 + C4c/(1+r)4 ….. Ctc/(1+r)20 – Sc/(1+r)20
Where, Cts is cost of steel bridge at time t
Ctc is cost of concrete bridge at time t
Ss is salvage vale of steel bridge
Sc is salvage vale of concrete bridge
20000000+ 100000/(1+r) + 100000/(1+r)2 + 100000/(1+r)3 + 120000/(1+r)4 ….. 440000/(1+r)20 – 3000000/(1+r)20 = 17000000 + 200000 /(1+r) + 200000 /(1+r)2 + 200000 /(1+r)3 + 200000 /(1+r)4 ….. 200000/(1+r)20 + 2000000/(1+r)20
Solving above eqn for r,
r=1.4366%
Interest rate is 1.44% in order to make these two options economically equivalent