In: Finance
Consider a stock with current year dividend equal to $2.00 per share. You believe the dividend will grow 15% per year for 10 years and 4% per year thereafter.The required equity rate of return (and your hurdle rate) is 10%.
What is the fair price of the stock?
Assuming the market price of the stock is $70, what is the expected return?
Year | Particulars | Cash flow | × discount rate | Present value |
1 | Dividend | $ 2.3000 | 0.90909 | $ 2.09 |
2 | Dividend | $ 2.6450 | 0.82645 | $ 2.19 |
3 | Dividend | $ 3.0418 | 0.75131 | $ 2.29 |
4 | Dividend | $ 3.4980 | 0.68301 | $ 2.39 |
5 | Dividend | $ 4.0227 | 0.62092 | $ 2.50 |
6 | Dividend | $ 4.6261 | 0.56447 | $ 2.61 |
7 | Dividend | $ 5.3200 | 0.51316 | $ 2.73 |
8 | Dividend | $ 6.1180 | 0.46651 | $ 2.85 |
9 | Dividend | $ 7.0358 | 0.42410 | $ 2.98 |
10 | Dividend | $ 8.0911 | 0.38554 | $ 3.12 |
10 | Share price | $ 140.2460 | 0.38554 | $ 54.07 |
Stock price today | $ 79.82 |
Fair price of stock is $79.82
Stock price is 70 at 10.72% expected return:
Year | Particulars | Cash flow | × discount rate | Present value |
1 | Dividend | $ 2.3000 | 0.90318 | $ 2.08 |
2 | Dividend | $ 2.6450 | 0.81573 | $ 2.16 |
3 | Dividend | $ 3.0418 | 0.73675 | $ 2.24 |
4 | Dividend | $ 3.4980 | 0.66542 | $ 2.33 |
5 | Dividend | $ 4.0227 | 0.60099 | $ 2.42 |
6 | Dividend | $ 4.6261 | 0.54280 | $ 2.51 |
7 | Dividend | $ 5.3200 | 0.49025 | $ 2.61 |
8 | Dividend | $ 6.1180 | 0.44278 | $ 2.71 |
9 | Dividend | $ 7.0358 | 0.39991 | $ 2.81 |
10 | Dividend | $ 8.0911 | 0.36119 | $ 2.92 |
10 | Share price | $ 125.2196 | 0.36119 | $ 45.23 |
Stock price today | $ 70.01 |
Expected return is 10.72%
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