In: Statistics and Probability
1. A raffle has a prize of $ 1000, two prizes of $ 500, five prizes of $ 100 and 50 prizes of $ 10. If 1000 tickets are sold and the raffle organizers intend to make a profit of $ 10 per ticket, how much must a ticket buyer pay?
2. In a betting game, a person earns $ 800 if by tossing three coins on the air all faces or all stamps are obtained and he pays $ 350 if one or two faces result. What is the expected gain for this person?
3. A factory that produces certain types of tires has the following information: 65% of the tires it produces are without defects, 15% with repairable defects and 20% with non-repairable defects. A tire without defects generates a net profit of $ 5000, one with repairable defects $ 2300 and one with non repairable defects generates a loss of $ 1200. If G is the utility per tire, calculate the expected value of G and its standard deviation.
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1)
Let random variable, X=loss incurred by organizer.
The expected value for random variable, X is obtained using the formula,
loss,X | probability,P(X) | X*P(X) |
-1000 | 1/1000=0.001 | -1 |
-500 | 2/1000=0.002 | -1 |
-100 | 5/1000=0.005 | -0.5 |
-50 | 50/1000=0.05 | -2.5 |
Sum | -5 |
The expected loss per ticket = $5.
To get a profit of $10 per ticket, the organizer need to price a ticket of $15.
2)
Let X be the random variable of amount won.
Probability of winning $800 such that getting all the faces (all heads or all tails)
Now, the expected value is obtained using the formula,
X | probability,P(X) | X*P(X) |
800 | 0.25 | 200 |
-350 | 0.75 | -262.5 |
Sum | -62.5 |
3)
Let X be the random variable of amount of profit.
The expected value is obtained using the formula,
probability,P(X) | X | X*P(X) | |
without defects | 0.65 | 5000 | 3250 |
repairable defects | 0.15 | 2300 | 345 |
non-repairable defects | 0.2 | -1200 | -240 |
3355 |