In: Statistics and Probability
The data in the accompanying table represent the rate of return of a certain company stock for 11 months, compared with the rate of return of a certain index of 500 stocks. Both are in percent. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. LOADING... Click the icon to view the data table. (a) Treating the rate of return of the index as the explanatory variable, x, use technology to determine the estimates of beta 0 and beta 1. The estimate of beta 0 is nothing. (Round to four decimal places as needed.) The estimate of beta 1 is nothing. (Round to four decimal places as needed.) (b) Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, test whether a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index, x, and the rate of return for the company stock, y, at the alphaequals0.10 level of significance. Choose the correct answer below. State the null and alternative hypotheses. A. Upper H 0: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1: beta 1not equals0 B. Upper H 0: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1: beta 0greater than0 C. Upper H 0: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1: beta 1greater than0 D. Upper H 0: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1: beta 0not equals0 Determine the P-value for this hypothesis test. P-valueequals nothing (Round to three decimal places as needed.) State the appropriate conclusion at the alphaequals0.10 level of significance. Choose the correct answer below. A. Reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. B. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. C. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. D. Reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. (c) Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, construct a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the true least-squares regression line. Lower bound: nothing (Round to four decimal places as needed.) Upper bound: nothing (Round to four decimal places as needed.) (d) What is the mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is 3.15%? The mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is 3.15% is nothing%. (Round to three decimal places as needed.) Month Rates of return of the index, x Rates of return of the company stock, y Apr-07 4.23 3.28 May-07 3.25 5.09 Jun-07 negative 1.78 0.54 Jul-07 negative 3.20 2.88 Aug-07 1.29 2.69 Sept-07 3.58 7.41 Oct-07 1.48 negative 4.83 Nov-07 negative 4.40 negative 2.38 Dec-07 negative 0.86 2.37 Jan-08 negative 6.12 negative 4.27 Feb-08 negative 3.48 negative 3.77
The regression equation is defined as,
The regression analysis is done in excel by following steps
Step 1: Write the data values in excel. The screenshot is shown below,
Step 2: DATA > Data Analysis > Regression > OK. The screenshot is shown below,
Step 3: Select Input Y Range: 'y' column, Input X Range: 'x' column then OK. The screenshot is shown below,
The result is obtained. The screenshot is shown below,
The regression equation is,
a)
The estimate of
The estimate of
b)
The null and alternative hypotheses.
Correct Answer: A)
Explanation: The hypothesis test for the linear relation is determine by the estimate of the slope of independent variable. If the slope is significant, we can conclude that there is significant linear relation between the dependent and independent variable.
P-value
Answer: P-value = 0.026
Explanation: From the regression output summary, the P-value for the estimates slope coefficient of independent variable is,
Coefficients | P-value | |
rates of the return of the index, X | 0.764814665 | 0.026071433 |
Conclusion
Correct Answer: C. Do not reject Upper H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.
Explanation: P-value = 0.026 > 0.01
Since the p-value is greater than 0.01 at 1% significance level. The null hypothesis is not rejected. Hence it is concluded that there is no significant linear relation between dependent and independent variable.
90% confidence interval for the slope
Lower Bound: 0.1142
Upper Bound 1.4154
Explanation: From the regression output summary,
Coefficients | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
rates of the return of the index, X | 0.764814665 | 0.114242663 | 1.415386667 |
Mean rate of return at x=3.15%
Answer: The mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is 3.15% is 3.639%
Explanation:
The regression equation is,
For X = 3.15%