In: Statistics and Probability
The data in the accompanying table represent the rate of return of a certain company stock for 11 months, compared with the rate of return of a certain index of 500 stocks. Both are in percent. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. LOADING... Click the icon to view the data table.
(a) Treating the rate of return of the index as the explanatory variable, x, use technology to determine the estimates of beta po and beta po1.
The estimate of p0 is (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
The estimate of p1 is . (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(b) Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, test whether a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index, x, and the rate of return for the company stock, y, at the alphaequals0.10 level of significance.
Choose the correct answer below. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
A. Upper H 0: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1: beta 1greater than0
B. Upper H 0: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1: beta 1not equals0
C. Upper H 0: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1: beta 0greater than0
D. Upper H 0: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1: beta 0not equals
Determine the P-value for this hypothesis test. P-value (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
State the appropriate conclusion at the 0.10 level of significance.
Choose the correct answer below.
A. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.
B. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.
C. Reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.
D. Reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. (c)
Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, construct a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the true least-squares regression line.
Lower bound: nothing (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
Upper bound: nothing (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(d) What is the mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is (answer box)
3.25%? The mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is 3.25% (answer box) %. (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Month |
Rates of return of theindex, x |
Rates of return of the company stock, y |
|
---|---|---|---|
Apr-07 |
4.334.33 |
3.383.38 |
|
May-07 |
3.253.25 |
5.095.09 |
|
Jun-07 |
negative 1.78−1.78 |
0.540.54 |
|
Jul-07 |
negative 3.20−3.20 |
2.882.88 |
|
Aug-07 |
1.291.29 |
2.692.69 |
|
Sept-07 |
3.583.58 |
7.417.41 |
|
Oct-07 |
1.481.48 |
negative 4.83−4.83 |
|
Nov-07 |
negative 4.40−4.40 |
negative 2.38−2.38 |
|
Dec-07 |
negative 0.86−0.86 |
2.372.37 |
|
Jan-08 |
negative 6.12−6.12 |
negative 4.27−4.27 |
|
Feb-08 |
negative 3.48−3.48 |
negative 3.77−3.77 |
data
x | y |
4.33 | 3.38 |
3.25 | 5.09 |
-1.78 | 0.54 |
-3.2 | 2.88 |
1.29 | 2.69 |
3.58 | 7.41 |
1.48 | -4.83 |
-4.4 | -2.38 |
-0.86 | 2.37 |
-6.12 | -4.27 |
-3.48 | -3.77 |
excel result
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.663946888 | |||||
R Square | 0.44082547 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.378694967 | |||||
Standard Error | 3.226678587 | |||||
Observations | 11 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 1 | 73.87087131 | 73.87087131 | 7.095153696 | 0.02588949 | |
Residual | 9 | 93.70309232 | 10.4114547 | |||
Total | 10 | 167.5739636 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 1.239760956 | 0.985074091 | 1.258545897 | 0.239860538 | -0.988631456 | 3.468153368 |
x | 0.766052541 | 0.287592565 | 2.663672971 | 0.02588949 | 0.115472961 | 1.416632121 |
a)
po = intercept = 1.2398
p1 = slope = 0.7661
b)
option D) is correct
Ho : b = 0
Ha: b not equal to 0
p-value = 0.0259
p-value < 0.10(alpha)
hence we reject the null hypothesis
option D) is correct
c)
90% confidence interval for slope =
lower = 0.2389
upper = 1.2932
d)
y^ = 1.2398 + 0.7661*x
when x = 3.25
y^ = 1.2398 + 0.7661*3.25
= 3.7296 %
=3.730 %
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