Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The data in the accompanying table represent the rate of return of a certain company stock...

The data in the accompanying table represent the rate of return of a certain company stock for 11​ months, compared with the rate of return of a certain index of 500 stocks. Both are in percent. Complete parts ​(a) through ​(d) below. LOADING... Click the icon to view the data table.

​(a) Treating the rate of return of the index as the explanatory​ variable, x, use technology to determine the estimates of beta po and beta po1.

The estimate of p0 is ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

The estimate of p1 is . ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

​(b) Assuming the residuals are normally​ distributed, test whether a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the​ index, x, and the rate of return for the company​ stock, y, at the alphaequals0.10 level of significance.

Choose the correct answer below. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

A. Upper H 0​: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1​: beta 1greater than0

B. Upper H 0​: beta 1equals0 Upper H 1​: beta 1not equals0

C. Upper H 0​: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1​: beta 0greater than0

D. Upper H 0​: beta 0equals0 Upper H 1​: beta 0not equals

Determine the​ P-value for this hypothesis test. ​P-value ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

State the appropriate conclusion at the 0.10 level of significance.

Choose the correct answer below.

A. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.

B. Do not reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.  

C. Reject Upper H 0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock.  

D. Reject Upper H 0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relation exists between the rate of return of the index and the rate of return of the company stock. ​(c)

Assuming the residuals are normally​ distributed, construct a​ 90% confidence interval for the slope of the true​ least-squares regression line.

Lower​ bound: nothing ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

Upper​ bound: nothing ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

​(d) What is the mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is (answer box)

3.25​%? The mean rate of return for the company stock if the rate of return of the index is 3.25​% (​answer box) %. ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Month

Rates of return of the​index, x

Rates of return of the company​ stock, y

​Apr-07

4.334.33            

3.383.38            

​May-07

3.253.25            

5.095.09            

​Jun-07

negative 1.78−1.78            

0.540.54            

​Jul-07

negative 3.20−3.20            

2.882.88            

​Aug-07

1.291.29            

2.692.69            

​Sept-07

3.583.58            

7.417.41            

​Oct-07

1.481.48            

negative 4.83−4.83            

​Nov-07

negative 4.40−4.40            

negative 2.38−2.38            

​Dec-07

negative 0.86−0.86            

2.372.37            

​Jan-08

negative 6.12−6.12            

negative 4.27−4.27            

​Feb-08

negative 3.48−3.48            

negative 3.77−3.77            

Solutions

Expert Solution

data

x y
4.33 3.38
3.25 5.09
-1.78 0.54
-3.2 2.88
1.29 2.69
3.58 7.41
1.48 -4.83
-4.4 -2.38
-0.86 2.37
-6.12 -4.27
-3.48 -3.77

excel result

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.663946888
R Square 0.44082547
Adjusted R Square 0.378694967
Standard Error 3.226678587
Observations 11
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 73.87087131 73.87087131 7.095153696 0.02588949
Residual 9 93.70309232 10.4114547
Total 10 167.5739636
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 1.239760956 0.985074091 1.258545897 0.239860538 -0.988631456 3.468153368
x 0.766052541 0.287592565 2.663672971 0.02588949 0.115472961 1.416632121

a)
po = intercept = 1.2398
p1 = slope = 0.7661

b)
option D) is correct
Ho : b = 0
Ha: b not equal to 0

p-value = 0.0259

p-value < 0.10(alpha)
hence we reject the null hypothesis

option D) is correct


c)
90% confidence interval for slope =

lower = 0.2389
upper = 1.2932


d)
y^ = 1.2398 + 0.7661*x
when x = 3.25
y^ = 1.2398 + 0.7661*3.25
= 3.7296 %
=3.730 %

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