In: Statistics and Probability
A cola-dispensing machine is set to dispense 10 ounces of cola per cup, with a standard deviation of 0.8 ounce. The manufacturer of the machine would like to set the control limit in such a way that, for samples of 31, 5% of the sample means will be greater than the upper control limit, and 5% of the sample means will be less than the lower control limit.
ANSWER::
Mean=10
SD=0.8
n=31
5% is the control limit on both the sides
Hence corresponding z value is 1.645(90% probability)
a)
UCL=mean+z*SD/sqrt(n)
=10+1.645*0.8/sqrt(31)
=10+0.236
UCL=10.236
LCL=mean-z*SD/sqrt(n)
=10-0.236
LCL=9.76
b)
new mean=9.7
SD=0.8
to find probability that change will not be detected
P(9.76<x<10.24)
Z values are (9.76-9.7) and (10.24-9.7)
Z values=0.06 and 0.54
From Z table the corresponding probabilities are 0.5239 and 0.7054
The difference is our required probability (0.7054-0.5239)
=0.1815
c)
new mean=10.4
SD=0.8
to find probability that change will not be detected
P(9.76<x<10.24)
Z values are (9.76-10.4) and (10.24-10.4)
Z values= -0.64 and -0.16
From Z table the corresponding probabilities are 0.2611 and 0.4364
The difference is our required probability (0.2611-0.4364)
=0.1753
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