In: Finance
Procter and Gamble’s affiliate in India, P&G India, obtains much of its product line from a Vietnamese company. Because of the shortage of short-term capital in India, payment terms by Indian importers are typically 180 days or longer. Thus, P&G India wishes to hedge a 10 Million Vietnamese Dong payable in 180 days. Although options are not available on the Indian Rupee, forward rates are available against the Vietnamese Dong. Additionally, a common practice in India is for companies like P&G India to work with a currency agent who will, fix the current spot rate in exchange for a 4% fee of total transaction value.
Using the exchange rate and interest rate data given in the table below, recommend a hedging strategy by calculating and comparing the cost of each hedging strategy.
|
Spot Rate |
350 Dong/Rupee |
|
180-day forward rate |
320 Dong/Rupee |
|
Expected spot rate in 180 days |
320 Dong/Rupee |
|
180-day Rupee investing rate |
6.00% |
|
180-day Dong investing rate |
2.00% |
|
Currency agent’s exchange rate fee |
4% |
|
P&G India’s cost of borrowing |
10.00% |
| Sr.No. | Particular | Amount | Amount |
| 1 | Hedge via Forward | ||
| Payable | VND 10,000,000 | ||
| Forward Rate | 320 Dong / 1 Rupee | ||
| Rupees require | INR 31,250.00 | ||
| Agent Fee @ 4% | INR 1,250.00 | ||
| Payable in Forward Contract | INR 32,500.00 | ||
| 2 | Hedge via Money Market Hedge | ||
| Payable | VND 10,000,000.00 | ||
| (A) Today Borrow Money in India equivelent to VND 10,000,000 after 180 Year including interest (Invest in vietnamese) so VND require including interest. | VND 9,803,921.57 | ||
| (VND 10,000,000 /1.02) | |||
| Exchange rate (Spot) | 350 Dong / 1 Rupee | ||
| Indian Money require | INR 28,011.20 | ||
| Add: Agent fee @ 4% | INR 1,120.45 | ||
| Total Money Borrow | INR 29,131.65 | ||
| Add: Interest cost @ 10% p.a so 5% for 180 Days | INR 1,456.58 | ||
| Payable in Money Market Hedge | INR 30,588.24 | ||
| 3 | Unhedge position | ||
| Payable | VND 10,000,000 | ||
| Spot rate after 180 days | 320 Dong / 1 Rupee | ||
| Rupees require | INR 31,250.00 | ||
| Agent Fee @ 4% | INR 1,250.00 | ||
| Payble in case of Unhedge | INR 32,500.00 |
Here recomment that P&G India to hedge the payable via money market hedge as it have lowest outflow i.e. INR30,588.24
Assumption for calculation :
(1) Agent fee payable in all transaction will be paid at the time of transaction execution date and not at the time of contract.
(2) Borrowing cost of P&G India 10% is annual.
(3) P&G India can not pay at spot due to shortage of fund.