In: Nursing
Attributable risk helps to determine how much of an outcome may be attributable to a particular risk factor (i.e. an estimate of the excess risk ) in a population exposed to that factor.This is called the population attributable risk and when expressed as a percent, the population attributable risk percent.
Attributable risk (AR) helps measure the excess risk associated
with the risk factor. Population attributable risk (PAR) gives the
added risk in relation to the total population. Population
attributable risk percent (PAR%), gives the percent of cases in the
total population that can be attributed to the risk factor.
The PAR% is an especially useful, and underutilized tool in program
planning. It can be used to predict the impact of public health
interventions on adverse outcomes, since it considers both the
excess risk associated with the exposure and the proportion of the
population that is exposed. A risk factor with a large excess risk
and widespread exposure poses the most severe public health risk.
One with a relatively small excess risk and relatively rare
exposure poses the lowest public health risk. Factors with small
excess risk and wide exposure, or large excess risk and relatively
rare exposure form an intermediate group of public health
risks.
The PAR% quantifies the contribution of the risk factor to the
outcome and can thus help direct interventions. The higher the
PAR%, the greater the proportion of the outcome that is
attributable to the risk factor. One can compare the values of
population attributable risk percents for selected risk factors to
identify those risk factors that are most important for planning
interventions.
Most of the time when we examine risk factors, we look at
behaviors, medical conditions, and
environmental factors. It makes sense to talk of "eliminating"
these kinds of risk factors. There
are other risk factors, such as race or age that cannot be changed.
Instead, identifying people at risk for an adverse outcome by race
or age groups provides populations for targeting
interventions.
It is important to note, however, that population attributable risk
percents calculated from a 2 x
2 table are crude measures of attributable risk. Because the
outcome is compared to only one risk factor at a time, there is no
way to know if other risk factors may underlie or explain the
associations found in a 2 x 2 table. More advanced statistical
methods, such as multivariate analysis, can be used to calculate
attributable risks for individual risk factors that adjust for the
influence of other potential risk factors. Another option is to
review the literature for studies on the outcomes of interest that
use multivariate analyses to assess the impact of the risk factors
of interest.