In: Statistics and Probability
In the production of printed circuit boards, errors in the alignment of electrical connections are a source of scrap. The accompanying table shows the registration error and the temperature used in the production of circuit boards in an experiment in which higher cost material was used.
|
Registration Error |
Temperature |
||
|---|---|---|---|
|
−10.7 |
278 |
||
|
3.7 |
320 |
||
|
3.2 |
299 |
||
|
10.6 |
321 |
||
|
−13.8 |
271 |
||
|
6.2 |
293 |
||
|
13.7 |
324 |
||
A. Fit a quadratic regression model and state the quadratic regression.
B. Perform a residual analysis on the results and determine if the regression model is valid.
C. At the 0.05 level of significance, is there a significant quadratic relationship between temperature and registration error?
D. At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether the quadratic model is a better fit than the linear model.
E. Interpret the meaning of the coefficient of multiple determination.
F. Compute the adjusted r2.
(a) The quadratic regression model is:
y = -960.6411 + 6.0298*x - 0.0094*x²
(b) The residual plot is:

Since a random pattern of the residuals can be seen, the regression model is valid.
(c) The hypothesis being tested is:
H0: β1 = β2 = 0
H1: At least one βi ≠ 0
The p-value is 0.0155.
Since the p-value (0.0155) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.
Therefore, we can conclude that there is a significant quadratic relationship between temperature and registration error.
(d) R² for the quadratic model is 0.876 while the R² for the linear model is 0.807. Since R² for the quadratic model is morel, it is a better fit than the linear model.
(e) 87.6% of the variation in the model is explained.
(f) Adjusted R² = 0.813
| R² | 0.876 | |||||
| Adjusted R² | 0.813 | |||||
| R | 0.936 | |||||
| Std. Error | 4.474 | |||||
| n | 7 | |||||
| k | 2 | |||||
| Dep. Var. | y | |||||
| ANOVA table | ||||||
| Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value | |
| Regression | 563.5158 | 2 | 281.7579 | 14.08 | .0155 | |
| Residual | 80.0614 | 4 | 20.0153 | |||
| Total | 643.5771 | 6 | ||||
| Regression output | confidence interval | |||||
| variables | coefficients | std. error | t (df=4) | p-value | 95% lower | 95% upper |
| Intercept | -960.6411 | |||||
| x | 6.0298 | 3.7799 | 1.595 | .1859 | -4.4650 | 16.5246 |
| x² | -0.0094 | 0.0063 | -1.481 | .2126 | -0.0269 | 0.0082 |