In: Economics
3. Nestlé is a manufacturer of dairy products. His administration conducted an analysis of the chocolate division. As part of this analysis, it has been determined that personal income, sales prices and advertising expenses are the three main variables that affect the demand for chocolates. It has been estimated that the income arc elasticity for chocolates is 1.5 and that the arc price elasticity of demand is -2.0, as well as the arc elasticity of advertising is .8
a) Using these elasticities and the data below, calculate the missing sales:
Year Income Price Advertising Sales
2016 $ 1000 $ 400 $ 120 850
2017 $ 1100 $ 400 $ 130
2018 $ 1100 $ 450 $ 140
b) The company also has information that reveals that a competitor plans to reduce the price of its chocolates from $ 500 to $ 381 a box by 2017. The marketing department has estimated that the cross elasticity between the two companies is 0.3. How will the quantity react? Nestlé defendant? (calculate)
a)
Year | Income $ | Change in I | Price $ | Change in P | Advertising $ | Change in A | Income Effect on Q | Price Effect on Q | Advertising effect on Q | Sales | |
Y | I | ∆ I | P | ∆ P | A | ∆ A | ∆I X 1.5 | ∆P X -2.0 | ∆A X 0.80 | Q | |
2016 | 1000 | - | 400 | - | 120 | - | 850 | ||||
2017 | 1100 | 100 | 400 | - | 130 | 10 | 150 | 8 | 1008 | (850 + 150+8) | |
2018 | 1100 | - | 450 | 50 | 140 | 10 | -500 | 8 | 516 | (1008-500 +8) |
b) Quantity for 2017 computed as follows:
Year | Income | Change in I | Advertising | Change in A | Competitor Price | Change in C | Income Effect | Advertising effect | Competition effect | Sales | Rounded off |
Y | I | ∆ I | A | ∆ A | C | ∆ C | ∆I X 1.5 | ∆A X 0.80 | ∆ C X 0.3 | Q | |
2016 | 1000 | - | 120 | - | 500 | 850 | |||||
2017 | 1100 | 100 | 130 | 10 | 381 | -119 | 150 | 8 | -36 | 972 | (850 + 150+8-36) |
Therefore 2018 quantities as calculated in part a)also reduces by ~36 (due to fall in 2017 as in part b) because of cross elasticity.