In: Accounting
The Bartram-Pulley Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive investment projects. Each project costs $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual net cash flows from each project begin 1 year after the initial investment is made and have the following probability distributions:
PROJECT A | PROJECT B | ||
Probability | Net Cash Flows |
Probability | Net Cash Flows |
0.2 | $6,000 | 0.2 | $ 0 |
0.6 | 6,750 | 0.6 | 6,750 |
0.2 | 8,000 | 0.2 | 17,000 |
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at a 12% rate and the less risky project at a 9% rate.
Project A | Project B | |
Net cash flow | $ | $ |
σ (to the nearest whole number) | CV (to 2 decimal places) | |
Project A | $ | |
Project B | $ |
Project A | $ | |
Project B | $ |
Answer a.
Project A:
Expected Annual Net Cash Flow = 0.20 * 6,000 + 0.60 * 6,750 +
0.20 * 8,000
Expected Annual Net Cash Flow = 6,850
Project B:
Expected Annual Net Cash Flow = 0.20 * 0 + 0.60 * 6,750 + 0.20 *
17,000
Expected Annual Net Cash Flow = 7,450
Answer b.
Project A:
Variance = 0.20 * (6,000 - 6,850)^2 + 0.60 * (6,750 - 6,850)^2 +
0.20 * (8,000 - 6,850)^2
Variance = 415,000
Standard Deviation = (415,000)^(1/2)
Standard Deviation = 644
Coefficient of Variation = Standard Deviation / Expected
Value
Coefficient of Variation = 644 / 6,850
Coefficient of Variation = 0.09
Project B:
Variance = 0.20 * (0 - 7,450)^2 + 0.60 * (6,750 - 7,450)^2 +
0.20 * (17,000 - 7,450)^2
Variance = 29,635,000
Standard Deviation = (29,635,000)^(1/2)
Standard Deviation = 5,444
Coefficient of Variation = Standard Deviation / Expected
Value
Coefficient of Variation = 5,444 / 7,450
Coefficient of Variation = 0.73
Answer c.
Coefficient of variation of Project B is higher than that of Project A; therefore, Project B is riskier.
Project A:
Discount Rate = 9.00%
Net Present Value = -$6,750 + $6,850/1.09 + $6,850/1.09^2 +
$6,850/1.09^3
Net Present Value = $10,589
Project B:
Discount Rate = 12.00%
Net Present Value = -$6,750 + $7,450/1.12 + $7,450/1.12^2 +
$7,450/1.12^3
Net Present Value = $11,144